Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c6393c139c493f4edb49177a2d317b90fd8973da2eb3675ca98b4fb2ae4a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 4,130$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.45 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 2,919$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 14c | 1,221$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 793.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 2c | 744.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 13c | 702.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 699.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 688.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 678$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 12c | 419.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 397$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 11c | 375$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…b824backed Yes | 4c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 293.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 17c | 291.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 14c | 247$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4a…726fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 13c | 114.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 106.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 14c | 99.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 14c | 84.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 24c | 42.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 33c | 40.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.