Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02f0c60b4f9551c97fe67bc6f02df357de52ca969f0e9159e06a5aca69cd2bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,219,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,778,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,219,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 753 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 15c | 125,990$18,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,371.19 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 12c | 101,683$11,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,970.38 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 74,852$6,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,788.52 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 17c | 59,287$9,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.09 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…a184backed Yes | 16c | 43,724$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 8c | 41,873$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.46 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…f818backed Yes | 9c | 33,345$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.81 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 15c | 31,699$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.05 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 13c | 30,683$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.86 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 13c | 30,010$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.92 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 25,449$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.24 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 21c | 23,975$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.78 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 22,139$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.58 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…5840backed Yes | 11c | 21,510$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ae…3567backed Yes | 3c | 20,755$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…a13fbacked Yes | 20c | 18,373$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 14c | 15,991$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.78 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…09d8backed Yes | 9c | 15,574$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 77c | 15,278$11,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.66 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…3484backed Yes | 14c | 14,419$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 13c | 12,351$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 10c | 12,213$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf685…c504backed Yes | 15c | 10,887$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…b753backed Yes | 19c | 10,704$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +845.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 71c | 10,548$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 4c | 10,521$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.52 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…ddfcbacked Yes | 23c | 9,700$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.87 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed No | 72c | 8,465$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.76 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 7,891$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.43 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…30f9backed Yes | 22c | 7,796$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 7,790$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.88 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 10c | 7,406$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 14c | 7,335$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…c047backed Yes | 16c | 6,925$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…876ebacked Yes | 15c | 6,701$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…0035backed Yes | 11c | 6,600$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,531$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,521$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.88 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…d013backed Yes | 19c | 6,277$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 6,007$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.42 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 75c | 6,002$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…d1c4backed Yes | 5c | 5,896$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…d947backed Yes | 6c | 5,723$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…7f58backed Yes | 19c | 5,688$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 8c | 5,666$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 5,576$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.19 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 4c | 5,435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…7740backed Yes | 11c | 5,298$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…a609backed Yes | 9c | 5,257$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 15c | 5,213$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.3 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…e8b8backed Yes | 13c | 5,199$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 5,151$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.35 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…935dbacked Yes | 25c | 5,063$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.5 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,949$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 12c | 4,913$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 14c | 4,816$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 15c | 4,721$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.04 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 4,717$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.87 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,563$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…739abacked Yes | 3c | 4,514$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 16c | 4,506$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.75 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 15c | 4,448$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.9 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 11c | 4,447$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 34c | 4,300$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.91 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 70c | 4,234$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.76 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…13e6backed Yes | 11c | 3,946$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,883$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 3,879$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.84 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,761$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…a889backed Yes | 4c | 3,700$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 3,686$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.32 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…a3b1backed Yes | 13c | 3,638$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x071b…d08dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,595$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,575$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 18c | 3,572$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.3 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 11c | 3,547$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…d045backed Yes | 4c | 3,502$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…2324backed Yes | 15c | 3,500$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.06 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 18c | 3,488$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…ee37backed Yes | 17c | 3,401$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 25c | 3,400$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,277$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 5c | 3,274$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked Yes | 14c | 3,203$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.92 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,131$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…5831backed Yes | 5c | 3,130$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 2c | 3,046$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 12c | 2,880$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.09 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 13c | 2,792$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…1efebacked Yes | 1c | 2,700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…04f5backed Yes | 16c | 2,674$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…db0dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,625$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 4c | 2,620$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…405cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,536$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.