UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4feca4b5eee48d70dfbf51e37d4d171ae77fed9e008cbe3f4e9aeb812ffdbe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Topuriaof Topuria, Oliveira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,322,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,466,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,322,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 869 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Oliveira | 22c | 393,493$88,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,166.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…e60cbacked Oliveira | 24c | 101,617$24,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,093.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Topuria | 78c | 89,256$69,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,036.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Topuria | 77c | 77,578$59,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,941.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Topuria | 77c | 60,000$46,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Topuria | 78c | 40,700$31,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…bcd3backed Topuria | 78c | 40,319$31,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Topuria | 78c | 38,789$30,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.07 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Oliveira | 22c | 37,078$8,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,307.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Oliveira | 23c | 36,796$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Oliveira | 24c | 36,025$8,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,511.9 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Topuria | 78c | 34,161$26,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,667.47 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Topuria | 77c | 32,415$24,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,455.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Topuria | 78c | 31,552$24,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Topuria | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Topuria | 77c | 25,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Oliveira | 22c | 24,703$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Topuria | 76c | 20,050$15,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.92 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Topuria | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.97 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Topuria | 77c | 19,400$14,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Oliveira | 24c | 18,363$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Oliveira | 24c | 17,312$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Oliveira | 24c | 15,753$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Topuria | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Topuria | 76c | 13,300$10,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Topuria | 77c | 13,142$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Oliveira | 21c | 13,054$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.08 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…82dcbacked Oliveira | 6c | 12,877$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Topuria | 77c | 12,850$9,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.5 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Topuria | 77c | 12,800$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…4ed2backed Oliveira | 23c | 10,701$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…af7abacked Oliveira | 23c | 10,298$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed Oliveira | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Oliveira | 16c | 10,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…ce44backed Oliveira | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbd…6355backed Topuria | 78c | 9,509$7,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…8238backed Topuria | 78c | 9,276$7,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Topuria | 77c | 8,857$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.11 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Oliveira | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Topuria | 78c | 8,459$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.73 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Oliveira | 24c | 8,000$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Topuria | 76c | 7,483$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.61 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oliveira | 21c | 7,297$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.4 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc511…be96backed Oliveira | 11c | 7,011$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Oliveira | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Oliveira | 23c | 6,522$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Topuria | 78c | 6,172$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.87 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5932…b8b0backed Oliveira | 26c | 5,786$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Oliveira | 24c | 5,702$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Topuria | 77c | 5,454$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.46 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Topuria | 77c | 5,300$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.99 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Topuria | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…3d6fbacked Topuria | 77c | 5,029$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…1f42backed Topuria | 80c | 5,025$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oliveira | 19c | 4,892$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.2 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Topuria | 77c | 4,727$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Topuria | 78c | 4,700$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Oliveira | 24c | 4,354$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Oliveira | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Topuria | 78c | 4,080$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Oliveira | 22c | 4,053$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Oliveira | 22c | 4,051$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.68 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Topuria | 77c | 4,043$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.85 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Topuria | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Topuria | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Topuria | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Topuria | 77c | 3,772$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Topuria | 78c | 3,604$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…da65backed Oliveira | 25c | 3,594$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Topuria | 77c | 3,505$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Topuria | 79c | 3,320$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Topuria | 76c | 3,300$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Topuria | 75c | 3,285$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.95 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Topuria | 77c | 3,205$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.04 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Topuria | 78c | 3,163$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.03 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Oliveira | 23c | 3,043$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Oliveira | 24c | 3,000$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.96 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Topuria | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Topuria | 78c | 2,812$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Topuria | 79c | 2,773$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…e1c2backed Oliveira | 23c | 2,760$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Topuria | 78c | 2,744$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.59 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Oliveira | 17c | 2,704$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.34 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Topuria | 77c | 2,682$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.54 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…9dd0backed Oliveira | 23c | 2,543$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Topuria | 77c | 2,525$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.72 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Topuria | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Oliveira | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Topuria | 77c | 2,500$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…1e7dbacked Topuria | 78c | 2,471$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Topuria | 77c | 2,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…2046backed Topuria | 79c | 2,303$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Topuria | 78c | 2,299$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Oliveira | 23c | 2,266$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Topuria | 77c | 2,240$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Topuria | 76c | 2,236$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…d3f0backed Oliveira | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…743bbacked Oliveira | 24c | 2,107$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…fd78backed Oliveira | 24c | 2,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Oliveira | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirathis page
- UFC 317: Amil vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- UFC 317: Araujo vs. CortezCortez won
- UFC 317: Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush won
- UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
- UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
- UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
- UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja won
- UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
- UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan won
- UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaTalbott won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.