UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444c8ce929dad9a66e19e5484fc7bd05ae84c2de4842142c970bc0516e6e4693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delgadoof Amil, Delgado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $433,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Delgado | 56c | 362,193$201,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,338.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Amil | 44c | 117,255$51,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,817.65 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Amil | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Delgado | 55c | 31,873$17,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,205.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Amil | 44c | 23,507$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,392.97 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Amil | 45c | 21,666$9,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,735.7 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Amil | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Amil | 45c | 17,023$7,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,660.43 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Amil | 44c | 15,209$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.84 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Amil | 45c | 15,070$6,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,781.5 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Amil | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…3466backed Amil | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Amil | 44c | 9,370$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Amil | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Amil | 44c | 6,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Amil | 44c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Amil | 45c | 3,796$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.2 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Amil | 45c | 3,596$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Amil | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Amil | 37c | 2,355$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.78 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Amil | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Amil | 45c | 2,274$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Delgado | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.97 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Amil | 45c | 1,659$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Amil | 1c | 1,499$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Amil | 45c | 1,489$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.19 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Amil | 44c | 1,348$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Amil | 45c | 1,300$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.27 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Delgado | 56c | 1,236$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.71 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Amil | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Amil | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Amil | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Delgado | 56c | 942.14$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.28 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Amil | 44c | 925.69$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.04 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Delgado | 57c | 870.5$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Amil | 42c | 690$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Amil | 45c | 641.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Delgado | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Delgado | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Delgado | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Amil | 45c | 461.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Delgado | 57c | 460$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Amil | 45c | 392.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Delgado | 56c | 391.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Amil | 44c | 363.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Delgado | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Amil | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Amil | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Amil | 44c | 292$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Delgado | 56c | 264.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Delgado | 58c | 263.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Amil | 46c | 260.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Amil | 25c | 254$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Delgado | 55c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Delgado | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…4d01backed Amil | 44c | 236.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Amil | 46c | 233$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Delgado | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Amil | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…813fbacked Amil | 45c | 204.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Amil | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Amil | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked Amil | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Delgado | 57c | 199.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Amil | 41c | 185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Delgado | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Amil | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Amil | 44c | 164.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Delgado | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Amil | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Amil | 45c | 120.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Delgado | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Delgado | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Amil | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Delgado | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Amil | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Amil | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Delgado | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Delgado | 56c | 90.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Delgado | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Delgado | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Amil | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Delgado | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Amil | 42c | 62.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Amil | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…51a1backed Amil | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Amil | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Amil | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…e21dbacked Amil | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Amil | 44c | 55.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…093abacked Amil | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…558ebacked Delgado | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Delgado | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Amil | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Amil | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…7fdfbacked Delgado | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Amil | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Amil | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Amil | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…e4fabacked Amil | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgadothis page
- UFC 317: Araujo vs. CortezCortez won
- UFC 317: Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush won
- UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
- UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
- UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
- UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja won
- UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
- UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan won
- UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaTalbott won
- UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.