TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgado

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Delgadoof Amil, Delgado
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$436,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Delgado56c362,193$201,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,338.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Amil44c117,255$51,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,817.653751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Amil44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,0007853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Delgado55c31,873$17,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,205.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Amil44c23,507$10,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,392.973259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Amil45c21,666$9,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,735.716049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Amil44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Amil45c17,023$7,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,660.4314857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Amil44c15,209$6,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,691.844067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Amil45c15,070$6,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,781.510447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Amil45c11,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9506051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…3466backed Amil0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Amil44c9,370$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Amil45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3756829.4%20 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Amil44c6,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9842042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Amil44c4,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78023537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Amil45c3,796$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.213039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Amil45c3,596$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61812541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Amil45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Amil37c2,355$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.7814929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Amil43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Amil45c2,274$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Delgado54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.978348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Amil45c1,659$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.855044%22 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Amil1c1,499$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.997233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Amil45c1,489$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.1910040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Amil44c1,348$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Amil45c1,300$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.2712134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Delgado56c1,236$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.714665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Amil45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Amil45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Amil45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Delgado56c942.14$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.283933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Amil44c925.69$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.0410041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Delgado57c870.5$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2328043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Amil42c690$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.943933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Amil45c641.4$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1121044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Delgado55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.758826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Delgado56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Delgado55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Amil45c461.89$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.856031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Delgado57c460$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.88140.7%33 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Amil45c392.76$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7411540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Delgado56c391.78$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.816851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Amil44c363.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Delgado56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15439959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Amil46c320$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14713160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Amil45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Amil44c292$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.482470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+81.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Delgado56c264.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Delgado58c263.91$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5956450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed Amil46c260.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.351050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Amil25c254$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.676035%21 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Delgado55c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Delgado55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…4d01backed Amil44c236.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Amil46c233$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.181723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Delgado55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2731855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Amil46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.282352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb509…813fbacked Amil45c204.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Amil45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Amil45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd540…b2febacked Amil44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Delgado57c199.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8728743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Amil41c185$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8514144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Delgado58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Amil45c166$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Amil44c164.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2933253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff2…2602backed Delgado56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.66336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Amil45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.058220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Amil45c120.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.075839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Delgado55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5452252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Delgado56c111$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Amil45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9513450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Delgado56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.46443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Amil45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452962.1%18 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+62.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Amil45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Delgado57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Delgado56c90.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Delgado56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…624abacked Delgado56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Amil43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Delgado55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.649737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Amil42c62.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.125536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Amil40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f2…51a1backed Amil44c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Amil44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…a91ebacked Amil45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ee…e21dbacked Amil45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Amil44c55.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1522342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d8…093abacked Amil43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…558ebacked Delgado57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Delgado56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Amil45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Amil45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.258535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c8…7fdfbacked Delgado56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Amil45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Amil45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022753.3%121 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Amil45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e15…e4fabacked Amil45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.