TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47c7…a91e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Blue Jays vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$257.01
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Padres vs. Bravesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Padres vs. Bravesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Nationalsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
Tigers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mets vs. Red Soxbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Pirates vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$24.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$14.53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$23.48
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+168.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.