MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa756830fa553984f6a515c8de0d4186efda6dc68ed4c0b2c5e2d18cde5bbe765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Padres, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 33c | 126,804$41,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,856.55 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 58c | 37,382$21,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,581.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Braves | 50c | 36,179$18,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,148.24 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 74c | 33,354$24,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.33 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 37c | 22,959$8,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,392.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Braves | 76c | 14,749$11,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.62 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Padres | 29c | 4,065$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.96 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 39c | 3,719$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 48c | 3,358$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 72c | 3,281$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 51c | 2,999$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Padres | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 54c | 2,160$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.39 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 18c | 1,105$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 57c | 897.92$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.51 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Braves | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Padres | 23c | 691.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Padres | 29c | 681.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 69c | 613.08$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 33c | 608.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 45c | 516$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 36c | 433.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 33c | 395.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Padres | 20c | 305.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 16c | 304$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Padres | 37c | 258.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 8c | 243.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Padres | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 51c | 201.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Padres | 42c | 178.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Padres | 10c | 166.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Padres | 55c | 161.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Padres | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres | 48c | 150.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Padres | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…b172backed Padres | 20c | 128.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Padres | 40c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Padres | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Padres | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…4879backed Padres | 21c | 100.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Padres | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Padres | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Padres | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Padres | 14c | 86.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Padres | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Padres | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Padres | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Braves | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Braves | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Padres | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Padres | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Padres | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Braves | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Braves | 52c | 26.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Braves | 55c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…4d1dbacked Braves | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…a2b2backed Padres | 55c | 18.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves | 76c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.