MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb003fa579138b94ebaf06bdad44a53c321119d6a8c575bfb75091e9a61a6a761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe86e…dab1backed Orioles | 52c | 37,093$19,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,288.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…f296backed Cardinals | 48c | 37,093$17,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,288.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 71c | 30,597$21,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,850.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Orioles | 53c | 20,685$10,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,963.16 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cardinals | 47c | 14,942$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.26 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Cardinals | 21c | 11,871$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,372 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Orioles | 19c | 11,319$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.04 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Orioles | 58c | 9,170$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 9,028$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.67 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Orioles | 54c | 8,616$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 29c | 8,396$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Cardinals | 50c | 8,087$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.92 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 38c | 7,600$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 51c | 7,428$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.18 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 50c | 7,309$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.44 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 50c | 6,300$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.87 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 52c | 5,967$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.06 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 40c | 4,471$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.91 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 49c | 3,746$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.7 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 51c | 3,235$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.69 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 51c | 3,219$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 2,088$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,993$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Orioles | 79c | 1,860$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 48c | 1,773$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.79 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,729$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.7 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Orioles | 51c | 1,281$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.15 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cardinals | 23c | 1,216$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 67c | 1,210$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 54c | 1,152$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.47 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 52c | 1,112$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.4 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 51c | 999.97$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.03 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 50c | 850.62$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.31 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cardinals | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 51c | 734.03$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Orioles | 23c | 665.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 17c | 594.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.12 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Orioles | 52c | 588.46$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Cardinals | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Orioles | 5c | 504.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cardinals | 50c | 502.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Cardinals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…6f17backed Cardinals | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Orioles | 51c | 431$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Cardinals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 49c | 401.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals | 45c | 387.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cardinals | 50c | 380.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Cardinals | 27c | 375.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cardinals | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 24c | 354.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Orioles | 67c | 348.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Cardinals | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Cardinals | 31c | 331.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cardinals | 39c | 320.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 55c | 308.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…ae94backed Orioles | 77c | 308.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 49c | 306.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 37c | 280.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Cardinals | 69c | 267.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Cardinals | 76c | 262.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cardinals | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 52c | 232.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 47c | 222.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Cardinals | 49c | 212.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Cardinals | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 193.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Orioles | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 67c | 183.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cardinals | 49c | 147.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Cardinals | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Cardinals | 23c | 129.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Orioles | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…4065backed Cardinals | 49c | 110.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 48c | 106.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 46c | 104.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Cardinals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…a339backed Cardinals | 49c | 102.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 28c | 102.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4a…3747backed Cardinals | 48c | 101.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.