TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes41c24,390$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,390.3610848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No59c21,687$12,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,828.813857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No60c11,830$7,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,097.786953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No22c6,446$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.9638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes40c5,908$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,563.594843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No8c5,038$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed No61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No7c2,984$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes39c2,650$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.531540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99b7…3a93backed Yes67c1,648$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c1,285$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.691,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No33c1,263$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7820744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c1,016$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6009148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No28c939.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.585048%24 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45012252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked No10c715.34$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.531618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes66c681.82$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.822969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes69c662.96$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.522334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No32c633.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Yes40c629.13$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.481250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes72c591.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.672965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3058453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes67c489.18$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.095253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes38c450.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0117447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes40c450$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa088…d438backed Yes71c441.63$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.05955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Yes37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No60c386$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.64035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No59c339$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0121445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes40c248.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.915635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12229751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…7443backed Yes42c154.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.65580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+113%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes64c106.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.815853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73af…9af8backed Yes42c105$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb33…ef60backed No60c96.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…8dc7backed No60c96.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No31c96.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7914953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5377…e6dabacked Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.913534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes60c85.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.127651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes55c85.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No56c65.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.529255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…25a5backed No62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+90.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No56c63.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa13…8b70backed No60c63.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Yes71c61.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.632737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57d…12b5backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…c7c8backed No61c56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e26…32a8backed Yes39c56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c3…c8b4backed No61c55.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96eb…5d99backed No61c54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a5…5e6fbacked No62c51.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6b…b2d5backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…9547backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No59c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x996f…3748backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4510154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1201backed Yes41c43.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes40c43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.812357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5077…5e38backed Yes43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…a91ebacked Yes42c40.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…db66backed Yes51c38.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddf…a6a6backed No62c38.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf53c…9362backed Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5854…8d98backed Yes39c38.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf64e…acbabacked Yes40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e2…c8b0backed Yes40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Yes39c30.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02e…88d5backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes77c29.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c18…dc3cbacked Yes68c29.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5a…294abacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c0…48b7backed No60c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.