Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d73164b45a13b122ff6ea01d9c3e7f53a710c8d087b8949fa9e88056e7a68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4736…949dbacked Yes | 33c | 34,350$11,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,335.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…5251backed No | 67c | 33,750$22,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,137.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 35c | 14,297$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 65c | 5,594$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.79 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 3,268$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.66 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 21c | 2,319$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.26 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,042$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.72 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 1c | 1,894$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 9c | 1,707$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 2c | 1,144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed No | 68c | 1,081$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 68c | 952.26$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.77 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 35c | 858.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…b63bbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 33c | 565.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 520.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 65c | 433.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 67c | 320.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked No | 67c | 240.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 66c | 199.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 70c | 175.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 65c | 160.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…0146backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 14c | 91.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 66c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5047…c436backed Yes | 34c | 60.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 36c | 59.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 67c | 57.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 37.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…447abacked No | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked No | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…cb8bbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1201backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked No | 66c | 21.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-05-03?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.