Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester vs. Southampton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e586b79c73e15648dd3a31c95458623a35ea93e9dbfa6a0f3fe080b82ca30bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b8a…2007backed Yes | 27c | 9,994$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…b4b5backed No | 73c | 9,994$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 2,288$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.29 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 24c | 1,472$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.24 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 72c | 1,088$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,065$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 832$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 440.83$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 26c | 383.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 380.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 362.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…93c3backed Yes | 26c | 229.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 211.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…b17bbacked Yes | 25c | 208.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 76c | 167.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…0146backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…faf9backed No | 73c | 101.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 71c | 99.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed No | 76c | 77.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…07d1backed No | 76c | 77.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed No | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 61.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 76c | 53.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…bb94backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…ec8bbacked No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 24.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 74c | 23.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester vs. Southampton end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?Yes won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.