TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bfb…570ebacked Blue Jays44c32,199$14,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,031.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e0…2393backed Rangers56c30,773$17,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,233.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Blue Jays70c14,332$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,231.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Blue Jays43c12,484$5,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,150.4411746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers31c11,753$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers57c4,923$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8202,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Blue Jays67c3,601$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.059759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Rangers56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays66c3,131$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.6269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers29c2,512$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.2486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…2a73backed Blue Jays41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Rangers33c1,922$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.423943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers43c1,810$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.391,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers30c1,694$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.851,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Rangers61c1,566$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.026637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers35c1,424$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2995…6d7abacked Rangers56c1,423$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers56c1,421$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.6621356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Rangers30c1,384$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41825835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rangers41c1,380$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays41c1,312$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.4988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers51c1,216$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.121,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Blue Jays67c1,210$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0917866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ce…c3c2backed Rangers58c1,199$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2016…b4bebacked Blue Jays76c1,195$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.251050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Rangers56c1,010$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.592166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Blue Jays44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Rangers31c1,000$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4817927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ad…e00dbacked Rangers59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d97…6fd3backed Rangers59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Blue Jays41c995.56$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3820450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Rangers55c905.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9914047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…5a68backed Rangers59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8092…da08backed Rangers59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers32c886.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.464,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…adc4backed Blue Jays41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays44c703.91$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.191,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc8…1596backed Rangers29c684.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers42c604.73$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rangers47c534.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers55c531.98$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5943654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Rangers55c521.33$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.413353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14591749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf032…4456backed Blue Jays47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…a91ebacked Blue Jays46c471.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.013647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers15c469.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.731,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays76c440$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rangers58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23214050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x563f…786ebacked Blue Jays67c358.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.951978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays56c358.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays64c349.07$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6741643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Rangers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers58c333.24$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Rangers56c314.29$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Blue Jays62c313$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.817154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Rangers56c306$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3615949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers38c300$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Rangers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers36c296.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Rangers27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Blue Jays61c287.61$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0112335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays39c286.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.675,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9aa…e4a5backed Blue Jays70c273.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.281758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Rangers22c263.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5815543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Rangers41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers60c238.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Rangers28c229.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Rangers55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12123753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Rangers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Rangers56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11219849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers26c189.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Blue Jays54c183.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6421853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers34c179.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.751,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Rangers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Rangers57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…62a1backed Blue Jays45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c20…0a7ebacked Blue Jays45c145.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked Blue Jays67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.84146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d27…f6cfbacked Rangers36c139.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.294025%10 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays77c134.32$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc3…da8abacked Blue Jays76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rangers40c123.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Blue Jays60c117.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6519849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Rangers42c117.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.24812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed Blue Jays44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…92a9backed Blue Jays46c112.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Rangers27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays44c107.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f2…2de4backed Blue Jays45c103.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Rangers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rangers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef1…7c5fbacked Rangers55c96.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…3bfebacked Rangers56c95.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.