TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Brewers, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Brewers47c20,343$9,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,561.327948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers60c16,010$9,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,629.731,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates53c14,214$7,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,680.4124553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates54c7,355$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers55c6,746$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.692,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates38c6,722$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.1286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates53c4,738$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.172,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers46c4,699$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.1915745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1d…13e3backed Brewers47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Pirates53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9403943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3b…7cf5backed Brewers47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Pirates53c1,620$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.1714048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers46c1,604$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.671,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brewers51c1,485$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.221,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c77…b194backed Pirates53c971$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers47c960$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Brewers47c956.38$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.518349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d5…48e6backed Pirates53c943$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers46c899.97$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates53c831.13$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.711,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates52c824.08$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5633349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ee…cea7backed Brewers67c726.71$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pirates56c690$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers51c522.45$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brewers48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Brewers64c488.12$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5517927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers42c473.57$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Pirates53c466.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4715949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1269…7665backed Brewers47c452.53$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked Brewers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Brewers48c417.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Brewers29c417$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Brewers50c396.15$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.451540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Brewers31c385.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfe…62babacked Pirates54c365.54$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e9…2238backed Pirates54c363.04$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…626cbacked Pirates69c356.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde0…3f06backed Brewers47c354.62$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9657…4faebacked Brewers47c350.68$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers57c337.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf342…f9cdbacked Brewers48c318.69$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pirates79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4651953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Brewers46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc5…82d1backed Pirates54c297.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.691050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…eb2ebacked Pirates54c296.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Brewers69c285.07$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Pirates54c277.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Brewers38c263.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Pirates52c229.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers46c216.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.772,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Brewers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0912…5739backed Brewers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de1…6b5abacked Brewers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked Pirates51c207.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.554146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers11c205$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.655053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers48c195.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1726…3986backed Brewers47c193.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.136347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Brewers47c190.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.72646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers52c188.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.794,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers37c173.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.262,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Brewers62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4254…b486backed Pirates65c153.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.03666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Brewers62c127.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7243250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Brewers47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers49c123.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Brewers46c116.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5313353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Pirates44c114.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0932832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Brewers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2430…7473backed Pirates73c103$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe9…296dbacked Brewers47c102.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be7…4049backed Pirates54c100.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Pirates47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe128…243fbacked Pirates14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865339.6%21 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e0d…7f08backed Pirates54c98.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2b…94a6backed Brewers47c98.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x832a…d408backed Brewers47c97.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e5…61b6backed Brewers47c97.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Brewers77c97.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.935349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Brewers46c94.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x387a…927dbacked Pirates13c93.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.81428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers48c92.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2552…e133backed Pirates55c92.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb439…ff72backed Pirates54c91.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…e8f5backed Pirates55c86.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8f…7178backed Brewers47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13bf…2a14backed Brewers47c84.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc1…d442backed Pirates54c78.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…9b68backed Pirates52c74.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363540%14 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers48c74.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.691,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5126…cf14backed Pirates54c73.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.01850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers58c70.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers50c69.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…3585backed Brewers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.