TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Diamondbacks, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5fb…84b5backed Dodgers71c33,540$23,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,866.566157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Diamondbacks28c31,528$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9003850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers68c30,455$20,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,870.7327948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks31c15,027$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.981,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Dodgers69c10,311$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.9616151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks31c7,295$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.551,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Diamondbacks33c6,205$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.7121740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers60c6,106$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.6686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks33c5,961$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Dodgers22c5,499$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.627663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Diamondbacks79c5,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9509862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks24c4,594$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks33c4,039$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33350852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Diamondbacks15c3,291$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Dodgers65c3,156$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.386645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Dodgers74c2,704$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.0615745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Diamondbacks77c2,593$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.837451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Dodgers68c2,262$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8121356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks23c2,213$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks34c2,091$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.8728447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks33c2,044$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.532,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bc…5f95backed Diamondbacks34c1,900$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Diamondbacks38c1,849$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.2225416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Diamondbacks17c1,795$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2324844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Diamondbacks32c1,639$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.547450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers40c1,532$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.361,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks21c1,447$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4437446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Dodgers69c1,433$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e41…1560backed Diamondbacks79c1,228$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks31c1,215$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.5135854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Diamondbacks34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks34c1,177$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks27c1,109$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Diamondbacks20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1a…1f78backed Dodgers66c991$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.94887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks22c988.43$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.971,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Diamondbacks32c950$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30420450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Dodgers60c946.08$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.324856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e6…669abacked Dodgers66c909$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…52cbbacked Diamondbacks34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e4a…2a73backed Dodgers66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf91b…d0acbacked Dodgers66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Dodgers77c711.68$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6820150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Diamondbacks33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers52c677.54$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.584,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers45c676.48$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.731,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Diamondbacks32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Diamondbacks32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers66c603.46$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0863942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers70c586.15$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers66c575.76$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Diamondbacks80c565.85$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.684259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Diamondbacks36c560.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks31c559.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.285,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks33c558$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.221,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36e…a46cbacked Dodgers69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc13…adc4backed Dodgers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers66c484.85$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8574356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks19c454.73$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0817927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers58c443.89$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.252,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Diamondbacks24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Diamondbacks27c405.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4212347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372b…2edabacked Dodgers79c371.57$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.03977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Diamondbacks53c348.71$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks44c346.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Dodgers72c323.46$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.281668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Diamondbacks32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Diamondbacks22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Dodgers70c289.92$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.987935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Dodgers69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-50.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks50c285.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks36c280$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…f8e7backed Dodgers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers69c267.46$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9138455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers79c253.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1226651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Diamondbacks41c249.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2324751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers76c231.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc032…6668backed Diamondbacks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fff…f099backed Diamondbacks32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…5d9abacked Dodgers69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b8…2d83backed Diamondbacks75c215$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.252755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9aa…e4a5backed Diamondbacks74c209.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.371758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Diamondbacks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Diamondbacks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Dodgers69c192.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7519849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks29c187.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.182,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Diamondbacks45c186.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Diamondbacks32c184$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8817239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Diamondbacks33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…638fbacked Dodgers65c178.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers67c175$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7551955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4887…179dbacked Dodgers67c170.15$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.155352.8%28 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers71c169.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.088454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Diamondbacks33c165.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8143250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.