MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11be38888a386af8a27d650c3a7e46f25b1a542317b9cce1088dd8f9ef7bff40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cardinals | 53c | 17,654$9,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,334.44 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Cardinals | 26c | 6,937$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 62c | 6,448$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.02 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 46c | 5,002$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 38c | 4,810$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 60c | 3,934$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 62c | 3,103$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tigers | 61c | 2,650$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cardinals | 29c | 2,442$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,985$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.15 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 28c | 1,971$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.7 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…16adbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,111$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 65c | 1,063$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Tigers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Cardinals | 37c | 980$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…4a30backed Tigers | 62c | 952$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 61c | 899.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…7660backed Tigers | 62c | 890$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cardinals | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 65c | 793.91$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Cardinals | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 10c | 695$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Tigers | 63c | 633.05$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Cardinals | 12c | 565.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…d4a3backed Cardinals | 39c | 553.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 38c | 539.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals | 36c | 536.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 61c | 512.49$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 380.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 71c | 323.34$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Tigers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Cardinals | 60c | 296.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Cardinals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 46c | 265.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked Tigers | 76c | 231.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…4079backed Tigers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…88a8backed Tigers | 72c | 210.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Cardinals | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…638fbacked Tigers | 43c | 178.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Tigers | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…99d8backed Cardinals | 37c | 143.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cardinals | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Cardinals | 39c | 126.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tigers | 47c | 105.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers | 75c | 102.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cardinals | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Tigers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Tigers | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers | 62c | 94.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers | 60c | 93.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…853fbacked Cardinals | 38c | 91.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…e4a5backed Tigers | 74c | 87.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…dc4bbacked Tigers | 63c | 85.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe001…c31cbacked Tigers | 64c | 82.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4c55backed Cardinals | 38c | 78.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3b42backed Cardinals | 38c | 77.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…1db9backed Tigers | 64c | 75.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…1aecbacked Tigers | 64c | 75.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…c804backed Cardinals | 37c | 72.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers | 55c | 71.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Tigers | 72c | 63.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Tigers | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Cardinals | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Cardinals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Tigers | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tigers | 52c | 41.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 37c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…a490backed Tigers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Tigers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Tigers | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Tigers | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…2d66backed Tigers | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Tigers | 68c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.