MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1678cfb69f3caa0623afe4e092a2f4434951e59d889ca878062eac1e5c0b243f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Nationals | 49c | 57,321$28,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,179.65 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 43c | 28,413$12,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Nationals | 59c | 27,345$16,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,221.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 43c | 26,252$11,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,415.41 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nationals | 34c | 22,443$7,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,791.53 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 53c | 20,696$10,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,968.92 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 47c | 15,958$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,387.23 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nationals | 47c | 14,500$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,685 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 71c | 13,061$9,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,228 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nationals | 34c | 11,296$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,497.05 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Mariners | 56c | 11,257$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,291.61 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 48c | 11,117$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mariners | 51c | 9,356$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.47 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Nationals | 64c | 9,221$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mariners | 35c | 5,686$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.49 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Nationals | 53c | 4,909$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 51c | 4,431$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.83 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 48c | 4,317$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 51c | 4,128$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 49c | 4,076$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.47 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,932$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.1 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,654$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mariners | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nationals | 75c | 3,464$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mariners | 74c | 3,291$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.98 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,193$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.79 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 33c | 3,191$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…132fbacked Mariners | 63c | 3,186$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Nationals | 48c | 2,987$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 51c | 2,498$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.84 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 39c | 2,280$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.16 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nationals | 53c | 2,017$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.01 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1f64backed Mariners | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Mariners | 24c | 1,828$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.39 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Mariners | 19c | 1,815$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…b33bbacked Nationals | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5f95backed Nationals | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 35c | 1,660$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 34c | 1,660$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…696fbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,639$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nationals | 61c | 1,628$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Nationals | 45c | 1,574$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 47c | 1,547$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Nationals | 53c | 1,543$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 35c | 1,430$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 3c | 1,218$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Nationals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 53c | 1,155$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.6 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 50c | 1,115$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.15 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Nationals | 79c | 1,095$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,048$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.43 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Mariners | 49c | 975.32$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.03 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners | 32c | 936$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nationals | 27c | 926.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Nationals | 49c | 926.53$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.53 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 49c | 898.54$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.29 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Mariners | 57c | 873.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Mariners | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Nationals | 67c | 815.04$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Nationals | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…2a73backed Mariners | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Nationals | 77c | 653.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 24c | 621.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Mariners | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Nationals | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 79c | 530$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 53c | 491.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 46c | 453.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Mariners | 67c | 449.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 48c | 446$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Nationals | 52c | 440$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Nationals | 40c | 416.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.2 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Nationals | 77c | 403.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…097ebacked Mariners | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Nationals | 73c | 399.55$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Mariners | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mariners | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 54c | 373.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners | 54c | 356.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 37c | 350$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…c9eabacked Nationals | 77c | 346.59$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mariners | 48c | 339.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Mariners | 60c | 333.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 77c | 332.34$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Nationals | 49c | 323.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mariners | 51c | 315.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 67c | 308.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Mariners | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Mariners | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Nationals | 46c | 298.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Nationals | 44c | 297.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 39c | 282.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.