MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8bf9dc24ebc3a7d031abb0dda58845dec4b53451cc2bd170dad257ef1550f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Royals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Twins | 55c | 42,509$23,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,272.25 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…18c8backed Royals | 44c | 32,545$14,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,319.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…1cbdbacked Twins | 56c | 31,850$17,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,014 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 54c | 31,198$16,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,798.87 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 57c | 22,559$12,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,676.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 39c | 14,524$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.23 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 45c | 10,309$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,669.34 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Royals | 46c | 10,273$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…52dabacked Twins | 56c | 9,997$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…e4cfbacked Royals | 44c | 9,997$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 49c | 9,726$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 53c | 8,614$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins | 55c | 6,733$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.9 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 46c | 5,731$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 43c | 3,450$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 45c | 2,176$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.09 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Royals | 46c | 2,021$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.07 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 38c | 1,854$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.71 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 54c | 1,835$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Royals | 48c | 1,525$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.97 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Twins | 54c | 1,383$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.09 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 46c | 1,351$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.28 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Twins | 57c | 1,332$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Royals | 37c | 1,293$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.39 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Twins | 64c | 1,255$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Royals | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Royals | 47c | 1,060$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Royals | 46c | 970$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Twins | 54c | 955$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.3 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Twins | 72c | 923.5$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Twins | 53c | 920.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.45 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 46c | 861.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Royals | 61c | 815.87$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.68 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…75a4backed Twins | 56c | 695$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Twins | 44c | 684.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.09 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Royals | 46c | 611.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Royals | 56c | 605.34$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.46 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 52c | 601.55$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 47c | 573.84$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Royals | 44c | 520$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 42c | 511$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Royals | 64c | 509.38$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 56c | 479.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Twins | 53c | 466.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Twins | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Twins | 33c | 444.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Twins | 68c | 439.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Twins | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Royals | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Royals | 47c | 391$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Royals | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Royals | 47c | 261.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Royals | 45c | 259.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 42c | 239.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Royals | 46c | 232$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Royals | 50c | 217.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 54c | 209.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Royals | 50c | 205.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Twins | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Twins | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 48c | 167.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…7040backed Twins | 34c | 165.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Royals | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Royals | 44c | 159.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Royals | 47c | 146.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Twins | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Royals | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Royals | 56c | 117.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Twins | 43c | 116.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Twins | 53c | 112.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Twins | 52c | 112.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Twins | 41c | 108.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Royals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Royals | 67c | 100.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Twins | 55c | 100.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Twins | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Royals | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Twins | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Royals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Royals | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Twins | 52c | 98.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Royals | 42c | 97.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Royals | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Royals | 41c | 79.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Royals | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Royals | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Royals | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.