TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Jets, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$707,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$735,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd8a2…3b96backed Stars58c111,870$64,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,985.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Stars57c87,321$49,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,621.238749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Jets42c80,170$33,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,747.8211354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Jets42c72,310$30,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,370.192339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Stars59c56,259$33,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,820.72330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Stars60c52,902$31,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,093.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Stars58c52,507$30,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,874.093844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Jets41c48,142$19,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,757.8836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jets43c24,572$10,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,468.372646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars58c20,045$11,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,474.431,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Stars60c20,015$12,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,006.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Jets42c20,000$8,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,351.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee3…4772backed Jets46c18,425$8,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,417.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Jets43c17,080$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,279.544151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets42c16,628$6,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,944.172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Jets42c14,067$5,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,972.742853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Stars46c12,240$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.634852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets50c11,976$5,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,933.831,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets42c11,919$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,005.7792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Stars58c10,619$6,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.9131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Jets43c10,122$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343.2137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Stars53c10,110$5,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.57911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-78.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Jets41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Jets43c10,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3202334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Jets43c9,999$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.575147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…d01fbacked Jets41c9,133$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets42c7,200$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.9686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Jets43c7,094$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Stars58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9404763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Stars57c6,778$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.911952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x394a…d309backed Stars59c6,382$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5c…151ebacked Stars59c6,036$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets42c6,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets42c5,941$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.0464242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars59c5,837$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.2427958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jets41c5,631$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.6316645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Jets42c5,122$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Jets43c4,900$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.994247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars56c4,757$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.381,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Jets42c4,728$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.1130549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Stars58c4,298$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.194067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets41c3,712$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.5166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe97d…5e65backed Stars59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6713…3878backed Stars53c3,300$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5451833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Jets43c3,280$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.384650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Stars62c3,130$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.456764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2392…0d4bbacked Jets41c3,057$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets46c2,791$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.943,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets43c2,702$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.381,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars51c2,662$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.661,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jets43c2,600$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11821048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jets43c2,540$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Jets43c2,537$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.1917448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets43c2,412$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03725552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars59c2,203$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.0625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Stars57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8607163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Jets41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Jets42c1,950$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…f649backed Jets40c1,800$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36e…a46cbacked Stars58c1,700$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Stars51c1,672$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.621620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Jets41c1,594$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.574050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Stars60c1,534$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.751250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets48c1,495$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3310739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars58c1,255$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.2458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd180…0989backed Jets43c1,251$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars57c1,208$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Stars57c1,207$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.0726344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Jets40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Jets42c1,197$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jets42c1,175$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a5…3b86backed Stars60c1,166$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets41c1,090$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.948050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Jets43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Stars58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Jets55c978$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f0…5958backed Stars60c925$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666e…d5d7backed Jets44c912.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Stars58c891.95$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbf…74e0backed Stars60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb383…9179backed Jets44c855.32$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Jets47c836.19$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.075754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Jets51c777.27$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.154434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Jets43c775$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Jets41c774.95$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.853737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Jets43c769.09$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.962433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe155…c022backed Jets44c768.61$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Stars60c743.1$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2412462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x684a…1b69backed Jets42c741.26$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba2…5172backed Jets55c725$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Jets44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Stars59c674.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4712556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…47c4backed Stars60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Jets15c658.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7318237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Stars58c644.16$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.552846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets42c627.9$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Jets42c584$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0113363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Jets43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.