TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Jets, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$464,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Jets42c82,696$34,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,547.8510745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Stars58c76,712$44,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,218.881442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Jets42c73,429$30,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,839.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Stars59c37,678$22,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,608.6311441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets41c19,690$8,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,117.2531546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Stars59c18,134$10,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,434.854852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jets41c14,000$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.9816645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Stars59c13,000$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,33014057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars57c12,192$6,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.4692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Stars56c8,801$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.448749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars58c7,893$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.071,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Stars57c7,818$4,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.632646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars58c7,634$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.2627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Stars58c7,521$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars70c7,434$5,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.91,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Jets19c5,838$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.584434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Jets31c5,706$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.834050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Jets42c5,555$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.15147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets41c4,942$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.651,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Jets42c4,600$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Jets43c4,546$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.84139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jets42c3,810$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6009747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Jets42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars79c3,338$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.081,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Stars74c3,209$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets43c3,145$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.5286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c3…5654backed Jets43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Jets44c3,000$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3052334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets6c3,000$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.8166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars59c2,934$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.8225555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Stars77c2,626$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.627163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Jets26c2,156$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5571050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb586…c203backed Jets43c2,100$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e9…32fabacked Jets43c2,100$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedff…b635backed Jets42c2,100$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Jets48c2,062$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Stars59c2,034$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.94151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…a6b9backed Jets43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c8…4072backed Jets43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets42c1,958$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Jets44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8367549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…c03bbacked Stars57c1,649$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…c3acbacked Jets23c1,601$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.28540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Jets15c1,500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked Jets43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Stars58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…4d99backed Jets42c1,490$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets26c1,481$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8710739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed Stars58c1,400$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.961560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars73c1,392$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4414844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48e…f355backed Stars57c1,351$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars57c1,311$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.751,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Jets42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…39a1backed Stars58c1,300$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dae…0907backed Stars57c1,223$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets43c1,211$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8319555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Jets42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8228842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbe…1e9bbacked Jets8c1,185$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Jets44c1,111$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.843743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb08…c038backed Stars57c1,088$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7429…247cbacked Stars58c1,066$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf521…14adbacked Stars57c1,063$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x334b…535fbacked Stars57c1,050$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91b…fd85backed Stars57c1,047$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf88…52d4backed Stars58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets10c1,019$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41048050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdb…886fbacked Stars57c937$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Jets7c929.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3541650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c4…8c91backed Stars57c912$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+119.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Stars58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x76c6…696fbacked Stars57c877$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e0…ccb5backed Stars59c857.73$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.672770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7fcd…f3c4backed Stars58c855.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Stars59c844.25$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1412462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Stars72c843.21$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.44650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbbf…dbf5backed Jets33c806.57$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6713…3878backed Stars55c799.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e01…aae8backed Jets42c778.57$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…9bccbacked Stars59c777.97$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars57c775.01$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.531,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Jets42c715.69$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.594463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x666e…d5d7backed Jets42c652.38$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jets16c651.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10354418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Jets42c650$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27321750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Jets42c647$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9730549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Jets31c628.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7541340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357c…1ea1backed Stars59c620.66$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Jets14c605.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867948.1%38 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars58c600.03$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Jets42c590.93$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.196850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars78c589.91$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x76cc…877fbacked Jets42c523.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…2bbebacked Stars59c523.73$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Stars58c515.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4112556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b8…f54cbacked Stars75c504.6$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.