NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66819c4ac3115c856f1112e5861588cb3e1e4bd094e0c5768e2934bd6997c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Oilers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Oilers | 45c | 74,519$33,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,206.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 55c | 65,986$36,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,927.09 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Stars | 56c | 44,598$24,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,623.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers | 33c | 35,954$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,729.97 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Stars | 55c | 33,519$18,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,004.98 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Oilers | 47c | 27,000$12,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,690 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Oilers | 46c | 20,620$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Stars | 55c | 16,940$9,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,622.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 46c | 16,856$7,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,107.85 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 55c | 15,727$8,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.59 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Stars | 54c | 12,286$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.24 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…0cc5backed Stars | 54c | 9,997$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…3ab1backed Oilers | 46c | 9,996$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 44c | 9,097$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 45c | 9,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 46c | 8,888$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Oilers | 48c | 8,735$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.72 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Stars | 54c | 7,556$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.27 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Stars | 51c | 6,784$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.3 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Stars | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Stars | 53c | 5,893$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.55 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 56c | 5,319$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.03 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Stars | 54c | 4,891$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.86 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers | 44c | 4,707$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.23 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Oilers | 47c | 4,330$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.79 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Oilers | 46c | 4,180$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Stars | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.91 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…a46cbacked Oilers | 46c | 3,893$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…538ebacked Oilers | 1c | 3,127$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Oilers | 76c | 3,017$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.59 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 44c | 2,899$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.75 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars | 43c | 2,800$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.27 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Oilers | 31c | 2,795$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Stars | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Stars | 54c | 2,550$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Stars | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Oilers | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Stars | 13c | 2,267$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Oilers | 48c | 2,210$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Oilers | 45c | 2,198$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.1 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3325…cae0backed Oilers | 46c | 2,152$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 38c | 2,119$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.58 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Stars | 74c | 2,046$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…36cabacked Oilers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…2fefbacked Oilers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a6…a9a1backed Oilers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…c494backed Oilers | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…7b51backed Oilers | 46c | 1,891$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Stars | 29c | 1,824$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.08 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Oilers | 45c | 1,801$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.67 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Stars | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers | 37c | 1,745$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.79 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…feedbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Oilers | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers | 46c | 1,590$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…773abacked Oilers | 46c | 1,571$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stars | 53c | 1,540$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.16 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.02 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Oilers | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Oilers | 1c | 1,391$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 53c | 1,376$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.7 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Oilers | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…82debacked Stars | 54c | 1,280$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 67c | 1,276$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.59 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…cd4ebacked Oilers | 46c | 1,274$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed Oilers | 47c | 1,266$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Stars | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Oilers | 69c | 1,232$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.37 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…19cfbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,226$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…710ebacked Stars | 54c | 1,220$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…2a73backed Stars | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…cd46backed Oilers | 9c | 1,182$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…b729backed Stars | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…7ddabacked Oilers | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…63e0backed Stars | 54c | 1,154$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Stars | 54c | 1,146$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…2512backed Oilers | 46c | 1,137$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…fcd5backed Oilers | 47c | 1,120$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…5c9bbacked Stars | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…e830backed Oilers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…b5c0backed Stars | 54c | 1,054$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Oilers | 64c | 1,052$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Oilers | 71c | 1,013$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…d47abacked Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Stars | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Oilers | 46c | 998.03$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…3ffbbacked Stars | 54c | 957$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…ce36backed Stars | 54c | 952$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Stars | 54c | 946$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…b41bbacked Stars | 54c | 939$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.