MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad20148145a481826f75505f7819c75ad408db0ca5d55bd56bb86a14ae97f3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 32c | 30,865$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.51 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 67c | 25,102$16,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,291.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Reds | 58c | 16,332$9,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480.73 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 42c | 9,336$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 70c | 7,848$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 45c | 5,752$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.75 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 42c | 4,750$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.97 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Reds | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Reds | 55c | 4,019$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.2 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.95 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 59c | 3,586$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…d32cbacked Pirates | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Pirates | 43c | 3,254$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Pirates | 69c | 2,237$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…f09dbacked Pirates | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Reds | 58c | 2,012$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Pirates | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Pirates | 46c | 1,913$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…8c91backed Pirates | 44c | 1,909$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 13c | 1,800$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…6786backed Reds | 58c | 1,770$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…3141backed Pirates | 42c | 1,770$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…0edebacked Reds | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…97a3backed Reds | 56c | 1,659$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e4d0backed Pirates | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,416$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 44c | 1,356$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.36 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Reds | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Reds | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 49c | 1,120$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b635backed Reds | 56c | 1,118$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Pirates | 76c | 986.38$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa702…b3bbbacked Reds | 56c | 982$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…f43abacked Reds | 56c | 982$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…f93ebacked Reds | 54c | 967$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Reds | 54c | 946$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…9545backed Reds | 56c | 927$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Reds | 40c | 872.61$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.78 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Reds | 55c | 791$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Reds | 35c | 780.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb3…17cdbacked Pirates | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…e9b1backed Reds | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 54c | 742$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pirates | 46c | 742$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 74c | 712.55$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…f77abacked Reds | 55c | 709$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Reds | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 68c | 626.71$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 53c | 617.24$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Pirates | 44c | 585.47$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.47 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Reds | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pirates | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Reds | 55c | 471.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Reds | 55c | 364.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Reds | 55c | 364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 55c | 361.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 68c | 352.9$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Reds | 51c | 352.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 57c | 346.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 69c | 330.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Reds | 59c | 269.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Reds | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 44c | 240.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 75c | 192.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Reds | 54c | 178.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…83f5backed Reds | 58c | 173.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 59c | 169.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Pirates | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Reds | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 42c | 139.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…eb6cbacked Pirates | 43c | 135.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Pirates | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…7e85backed Pirates | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 50c | 119.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Reds | 58c | 117.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…fca2backed Pirates | 45c | 117.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…78febacked Pirates | 43c | 115.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…16c2backed Pirates | 45c | 110.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…3c0fbacked Reds | 59c | 107.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…515cbacked Pirates | 46c | 100.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Reds | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Reds | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…8ebfbacked Reds | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Pirates | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Pirates | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Reds | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Pirates | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Reds | 57c | 99.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…9751backed Reds | 57c | 96.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0e67backed Reds | 57c | 94.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.