MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a30d2c06edca37802e3e46544d2c6995aa240c23f960c6a646563348a61dfc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Mets, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Mets | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 44c | 30,258$13,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,932.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 22,097$9,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,374.08 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mets | 57c | 20,590$11,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,736.44 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 43c | 7,352$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Red Sox | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mets | 54c | 4,400$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.1 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 51c | 4,261$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Red Sox | 45c | 4,131$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.11 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…5511backed Red Sox | 46c | 3,440$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…236cbacked Mets | 56c | 2,643$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 43c | 2,552$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 43c | 2,539$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.34 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Mets | 56c | 2,009$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Red Sox | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,573$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.38 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 55c | 1,504$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.2 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Mets | 57c | 1,146$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Mets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 46c | 899.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.94 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…436bbacked Mets | 56c | 797$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 54c | 454.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 435.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 55c | 410.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mets | 6c | 393.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 57c | 263.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Mets | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 53c | 249.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 51c | 242.12$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Mets | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Red Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Red Sox | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Mets | 56c | 205.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Mets | 53c | 186.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mets | 17c | 178.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Mets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Red Sox | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 39c | 169.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Red Sox | 47c | 146.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 47c | 132.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…3338backed Red Sox | 45c | 116.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 44c | 115.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…5e19backed Red Sox | 48c | 113.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…99d8backed Mets | 54c | 112.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Red Sox | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Red Sox | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Red Sox | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e097backed Red Sox | 45c | 104.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…8068backed Mets | 56c | 101.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Red Sox | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Mets | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…527bbacked Red Sox | 47c | 95.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…9bc7backed Mets | 54c | 93.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 43c | 91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…23f2backed Mets | 54c | 88.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…d12abacked Mets | 54c | 88.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mets | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…dc5bbacked Mets | 55c | 87.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…874bbacked Red Sox | 45c | 85.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…05e0backed Red Sox | 46c | 83.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Red Sox | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…2e84backed Mets | 56c | 78.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Red Sox | 45c | 77.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…aaf6backed Mets | 56c | 77.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Mets | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Mets | 44c | 75.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…e92abacked Mets | 56c | 70.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Red Sox | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…c1e5backed Red Sox | 47c | 66.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Mets | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mets | 55c | 57.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9049…4892backed Mets | 54c | 55.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…4a16backed Red Sox | 47c | 55.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 44c | 49.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Mets | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Red Sox | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Red Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Red Sox | 45c | 39.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Red Sox | 44c | 38.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Mets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Mets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…d7eabacked Mets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mets | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Red Sox | 47c | 32.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Mets | 56c | 31.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 46c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.