NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecdae8fd545613e1651ee80128d3aa360525d6467bf39250b7f47027534f9c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $937,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $925,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 907 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 481,896$199,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,282.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Panthers | 61c | 71,171$43,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,268.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Panthers | 60c | 70,024$42,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,130.69 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Panthers | 37c | 54,540$20,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,201.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 66c | 53,331$34,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,976.04 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Panthers | 56c | 48,385$27,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,095.68 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Panthers | 59c | 39,756$23,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,584.56 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Panthers | 56c | 39,743$22,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,109.16 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 42c | 34,080$14,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,473.16 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers | 67c | 33,000$22,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,110 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 50c | 31,368$15,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,714.59 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 30,516$16,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,476.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc642…565ebacked Panthers | 47c | 28,425$13,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,451.61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Panthers | 55c | 20,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,900 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Panthers | 56c | 18,889$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.85 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 16,900$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,262.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 15,912$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,502.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Panthers | 58c | 15,314$8,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Panthers | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 60c | 12,400$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.04 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…7170backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 10,264$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.97 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Panthers | 57c | 8,961$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 8,035$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 64c | 7,161$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.79 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.95 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a5…62d5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,503$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 5,787$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.02 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.94 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…dbf5backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,708$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 55c | 4,674$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.87 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Panthers | 32c | 4,237$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Panthers | 65c | 4,081$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.1 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 3,057$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.94 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 66c | 3,006$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.03 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,809$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Panthers | 59c | 2,750$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…9a84backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,647$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,585$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.29 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Panthers | 68c | 2,569$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,375$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.23 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Panthers | 32c | 2,190$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,151$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.38 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Panthers | 2c | 2,107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…3ffbbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb746…08afbacked Panthers | 68c | 2,100$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers | 68c | 2,035$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.13 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…179dbacked Panthers | 68c | 2,017$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…451ebacked Panthers | 30c | 2,014$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…51f9backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,999$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…985fbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,778$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Panthers | 67c | 1,700$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers | 65c | 1,667$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.96 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Panthers | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Panthers | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 66c | 1,599$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.22 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,525$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.1 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Panthers | 68c | 1,521$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Panthers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,437$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.43 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Panthers | 3c | 1,430$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Panthers | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c0…32f4backed Panthers | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 54c | 1,380$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 67c | 1,372$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.91 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,330$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Panthers | 67c | 1,301$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.69 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…d509backed Panthers | 46c | 1,190$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 67c | 1,086$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.54 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,077$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…1606backed Panthers | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Panthers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…032fbacked Panthers | 68c | 971$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 959.52$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.96 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Panthers | 41c | 917.63$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 899.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…7829backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 899.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Panthers | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 67c | 878.05$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.29 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Panthers | 48c | 871.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 820.28$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Panthers | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Panthers | 68c | 779.41$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 67c | 750$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Panthers | 61c | 717.4$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 656.57$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Panthers | 63c | 632$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.