NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa23d08476e41e23f5de12a59f4cc99a904164690318d7f06d7fd381dab17c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Golden Knights, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 838 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Golden Knights | 47c | 78,198$37,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,090.59 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Oilers | 53c | 32,500$17,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,275 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Oilers | 52c | 30,770$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,769.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Golden Knights | 48c | 23,743$11,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Oilers | 57c | 21,284$12,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,084.62 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 57c | 17,014$9,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,316.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 15,114$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.6 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Golden Knights | 48c | 14,556$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers | 53c | 12,788$6,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.52 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Golden Knights | 31c | 11,725$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.57 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 11,380$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.35 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Oilers | 53c | 10,975$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 9,000$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 5c | 9,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 53c | 9,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.89 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…ee71backed Golden Knights | 48c | 5,920$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Oilers | 54c | 5,331$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.84 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 5,015$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 4,746$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.16 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 3,337$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.45 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Golden Knights | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Golden Knights | 23c | 2,900$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Golden Knights | 12c | 2,800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Oilers | 52c | 2,790$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 2,618$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.75 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Oilers | 73c | 2,450$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.48 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers | 73c | 2,289$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.61 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Oilers | 53c | 2,284$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,226$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.13 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 70c | 2,154$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.68 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,110$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.61 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Golden Knights | 34c | 2,063$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.83 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 46c | 2,016$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.34 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Oilers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.95 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Oilers | 55c | 1,996$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers | 73c | 1,910$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.88 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 56c | 1,900$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Oilers | 56c | 1,772$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Golden Knights | 32c | 1,703$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,543$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.06 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Golden Knights | 6c | 1,390$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 60c | 1,298$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.18 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 76c | 1,254$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights | 14c | 1,200$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Oilers | 53c | 1,134$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 43c | 1,090$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.87 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 1,090$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Oilers | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Oilers | 59c | 1,013$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Golden Knights | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Golden Knights | 2c | 999.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Golden Knights | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 43c | 809$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.87 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 30c | 717.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Golden Knights | 21c | 707.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Golden Knights | 43c | 700.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Golden Knights | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Oilers | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Oilers | 67c | 645$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights | 44c | 642.31$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.61 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights | 21c | 638$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Golden Knights | 9c | 610$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Golden Knights | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 576$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…6ec0backed Oilers | 53c | 572.89$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Oilers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Oilers | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights | 12c | 537.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Oilers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 54c | 524.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oilers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Oilers | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Golden Knights | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights | 20c | 493.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Oilers | 66c | 457.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Golden Knights | 5c | 448$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Golden Knights | 48c | 418$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Golden Knights | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Golden Knights | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Golden Knights | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Oilers | 53c | 377.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…2114backed Oilers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Golden Knights | 29c | 369.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…d5d7backed Oilers | 54c | 369.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights | 46c | 339.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 326.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Golden Knights | 5c | 316.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Oilers | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.