Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033c39d3617f2c25327c4a5f073aebdd4dcd76009c6a94f7ec73ccd02c9ea679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf62c…1659backed No | 65c | 51,750$33,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,112.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f01…f12abacked Yes | 35c | 51,750$18,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 8,993$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.32 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 6,853$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.84 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,700$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 40c | 6,264$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 5,762$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.02 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 5,100$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 52c | 4,189$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.93 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 13c | 2,281$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 75c | 1,890$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 65c | 1,646$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.81 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 15c | 874.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 14c | 792.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 16c | 602.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 18c | 512.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…fcfbbacked No | 68c | 498$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 30c | 493.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 34c | 446.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 13c | 336.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 15c | 310.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…b385backed No | 69c | 310.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 13c | 297.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 12c | 233.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 65c | 229.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…5f28backed Yes | 70c | 185.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 17c | 184.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 19c | 183.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 17c | 153.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 13c | 103.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 69c | 103.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 35c | 103.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 14c | 100.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…89bcbacked Yes | 35c | 99.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 61c | 97.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…f5d9backed Yes | 16c | 87.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…e8b3backed Yes | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Yes | 34c | 59.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.