Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4c59a2cbf88fb52ecf31064d5c325229cc7a424b8f113f562ca2b0d982a6a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 7,823$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.65 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.62 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 14c | 4,295$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 31c | 3,871$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 67c | 1,690$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked No | 21c | 986.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 922.84$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.59 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Yes | 17c | 835.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…89bcbacked Yes | 68c | 661.16$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Yes | 24c | 578.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 18c | 550.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.58 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 494.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 17c | 375.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 69c | 356.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 317.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 16c | 310$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 299.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 75c | 150.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 73c | 128.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…3df3backed Yes | 71c | 105.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 31c | 79.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…f697backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +290.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 30c | 49.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.