TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed No29c40,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,399.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes71c35,892$25,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,483.232040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No29c6,305$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.1921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes39c5,187$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No57c5,070$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.9169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes41c3,206$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.5620744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes36c3,000$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.1236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No61c2,947$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.5138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes71c2,804$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No30c2,357$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.6940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed No32c2,233$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes70c2,173$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.8613857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c2,050$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.4868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes70c1,714$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.0713829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12017958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes71c1,569$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2eb…9b76backed No31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No62c1,485$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.335257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes73c1,208$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.999148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71017153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No63c928.57$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf032…4456backed Yes69c899.99$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes35c869.71$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.381921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No67c848.98$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No28c800$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No29c799.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes38c799.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No31c756.32$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.868230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe140…5c68backed Yes70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No28c702.77$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f55…de24backed Yes69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c570$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ca…e813backed Yes40c489.47$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No64c388.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.273762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No30c342.79$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c326.72$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes34c319.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.299436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c302.82$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20411761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes70c288$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.64843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes70c284.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4911252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No30c267.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No63c213.54$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.022642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes36c212.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1424318.6%8 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No31c199.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No30c199.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9517837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Yes69c188.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes16c184.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd756…5026backed No30c165.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f0…7bd7backed Yes69c159.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd922…6ec0backed No30c158.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe106…e347backed No32c157.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6b…5ca5backed No32c152.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abe…404fbacked No32c144.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aab…acedbacked No32c144.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+120.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…e730backed No32c142.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc5…b71fbacked Yes71c140.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…d6c0backed No33c136.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes70c131.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.933842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48ae…46d6backed No30c125.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7351…89bcbacked Yes72c123.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9673…42bcbacked Yes71c123.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.35580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes69c114.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Yes55c101.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+109.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked No33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.913043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…6864backed Yes72c83.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ec…153bbacked Yes71c82.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.79560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes16c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…62dcbacked Yes69c79.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x080d…9874backed Yes70c78.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+30.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc895…ff63backed Yes70c76.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…31b9backed Yes69c76.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8464…a2e0backed No32c76.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5b…6da4backed Yes69c75.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bea…3403backed Yes69c74.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.66366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0a…6b93backed Yes70c74.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3e71backed Yes70c74.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6817…f3e7backed Yes70c72.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes40c71.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.495543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8f…df31backed Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes69c69.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc516…5f28backed Yes72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f62…0ac2backed No31c69.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d8…b9e5backed Yes69c69.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x342f…e786backed Yes70c67.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x485f…b9bebacked Yes70c66.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5493…df15backed No30c66.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.