MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb022d5eb61954ccbbd9ae6cefd749b789364e257b804e3019f3506a2199c7134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Pirates | 47c | 30,378$14,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,247.42 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Pirates | 48c | 20,685$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 53c | 12,000$6,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Reds | 52c | 11,670$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,601.68 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 53c | 8,756$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pirates | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pirates | 48c | 6,546$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.01 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Reds | 52c | 5,563$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 49c | 5,429$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.61 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 47c | 5,222$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.28 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Reds | 52c | 3,864$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.73 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Reds | 53c | 3,677$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.12 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 59c | 3,085$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 51c | 2,917$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.23 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…2fe6backed Pirates | 49c | 2,875$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 53c | 2,760$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…6f56backed Pirates | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Reds | 53c | 2,467$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.06 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…a31dbacked Reds | 51c | 2,440$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Reds | 55c | 2,007$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Pirates | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…6677backed Pirates | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…6f9dbacked Pirates | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9ed3backed Pirates | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…6992backed Reds | 52c | 1,904$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…0d72backed Pirates | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 53c | 1,672$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Reds | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…f07bbacked Reds | 52c | 1,450$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…f9e2backed Reds | 52c | 1,271$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…a5fbbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,258$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…4ac5backed Reds | 55c | 1,229$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…900ebacked Reds | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Reds | 50c | 1,224$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 19c | 1,203$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Pirates | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…57f4backed Pirates | 48c | 1,134$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…7cdbbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Reds | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…a572backed Reds | 55c | 1,073$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…2238backed Reds | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Reds | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…2c27backed Reds | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…4600backed Pirates | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…3d75backed Pirates | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Reds | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b04…7829backed Reds | 52c | 996.15$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…247cbacked Reds | 55c | 964$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7404…c062backed Reds | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…46fbbacked Reds | 55c | 945$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…67eabacked Reds | 55c | 945$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…e633backed Reds | 52c | 942$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…a60bbacked Reds | 55c | 927$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…ae40backed Pirates | 48c | 896$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 53c | 866.77$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.44 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Pirates | 48c | 845$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 51c | 777$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Reds | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 48c | 677.71$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.12 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 67c | 647.79$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Pirates | 42c | 631.56$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 52c | 619.91$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.91 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Reds | 50c | 600.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.47 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 51c | 593.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 49c | 572.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.85 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 51c | 561.07$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 48c | 557.38$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 8c | 510.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Pirates | 50c | 497.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…a46cbacked Pirates | 49c | 492$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 58c | 467$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 3c | 464.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…c17dbacked Reds | 51c | 435$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 5c | 401.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Reds | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 54c | 367.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Reds | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Pirates | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 56c | 341.68$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Reds | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 47c | 278.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Reds | 56c | 269.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 45c | 222.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 45c | 222.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Reds | 51c | 201.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Reds | 50c | 200.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Pirates | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 20c | 188.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.