NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16829cf55d722d5bb748fcf6ed462634b67c314909240ddd88bd38b042e1596a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,299,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,376,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,299,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 737 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 15c | 240,882$35,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,861.78 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 102,597$49,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,942.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Warriors | 31c | 95,929$29,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,238.21 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 73c | 92,512$67,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,638.61 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 71c | 62,484$44,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,181.85 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 31c | 62,288$19,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,845.75 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 69c | 60,000$41,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,399.94 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 54,497$28,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,611.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 45,244$18,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,739.9 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 70c | 40,295$28,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,206.55 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 38,998$26,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,764.47 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Warriors | 32c | 37,436$11,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,490.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Warriors | 33c | 35,661$11,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,819.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 33,000$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,399.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 32,026$21,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,960.56 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Warriors | 57c | 29,574$16,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,673.38 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 27,025$18,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,249.59 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 30c | 26,499$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,549.47 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 39c | 25,859$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,043.35 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 44c | 22,280$9,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,818.67 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 15,073$9,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.39 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Timberwolves | 52c | 13,603$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,113.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 13,253$6,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,958.71 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 66c | 12,962$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.65 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Warriors | 31c | 12,952$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,936.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Warriors | 77c | 12,363$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Timberwolves | 57c | 12,204$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.18 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 36c | 10,667$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.34 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 10,520$7,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,258.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 57c | 10,458$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.02 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 10,363$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.12 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Warriors | 29c | 9,999$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 34c | 9,969$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.33 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 38c | 9,461$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.63 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Warriors | 34c | 8,775$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 66c | 8,607$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Warriors | 35c | 8,560$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.88 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Warriors | 35c | 8,558$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Warriors | 44c | 8,433$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.63 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Warriors | 31c | 8,026$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.81 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 60c | 7,639$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.73 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 7,622$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.67 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 30c | 7,600$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 48c | 7,332$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.14 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…469bbacked Warriors | 33c | 7,300$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 69c | 7,271$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.09 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 7,191$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.87 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Timberwolves | 59c | 6,889$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.92 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 36c | 6,727$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.5 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 6,700$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.93 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 49c | 6,547$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.06 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 29c | 6,100$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.91 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,894$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Warriors | 35c | 5,837$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.86 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 5,165$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.84 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 5,056$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 4,940$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.06 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,797$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,667$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.65 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Timberwolves | 68c | 4,473$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.39 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Warriors | 67c | 4,463$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Warriors | 64c | 4,421$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.3 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…4739backed Warriors | 35c | 3,829$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 3,750$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.72 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,747$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x311b…080dbacked Warriors | 53c | 3,477$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Timberwolves | 70c | 3,355$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.47 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 60c | 3,250$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.05 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Warriors | 32c | 3,120$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.77 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Warriors | 79c | 3,115$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.39 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Warriors | 50c | 3,086$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 68c | 3,054$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.64 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Timberwolves | 17c | 3,047$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.11 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Warriors | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 69c | 3,000$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.21 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Timberwolves | 10c | 3,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,927$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.72 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,900$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.33 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 54c | 2,768$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 41c | 2,709$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.77 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 2,646$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…46fbbacked Warriors | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 28c | 2,459$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.82 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Warriors | 50c | 2,456$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.98 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Timberwolves | 2c | 2,451$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…f8fdbacked Warriors | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,348$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.48 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,289$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.15 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Warriors | 31c | 2,271$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.93 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 2,205$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…de6bbacked Warriors | 30c | 2,145$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…4988backed Timberwolves | 1c | 2,134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Timberwolves | 5c | 2,118$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.