MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af711da6e29653b1c9da7cc6dba22ac7ded0a48225d464a1b6947156d86a9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Mariners, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x192d…0671backed Mariners | 57c | 23,403$13,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,319.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Astros | 55c | 23,053$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,352.57 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 44c | 16,000$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,969.07 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 44c | 14,123$6,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astros | 43c | 6,394$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.58 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 40c | 5,639$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.71 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 41c | 4,088$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.02 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Mariners | 51c | 3,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Mariners | 1c | 3,869$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 55c | 3,077$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 19c | 3,009$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 64c | 2,832$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Mariners | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Astros | 44c | 2,600$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 60c | 2,444$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Astros | 44c | 1,991$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 45c | 1,947$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…7bc7backed Astros | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 30c | 1,644$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.67 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Mariners | 54c | 1,550$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Astros | 44c | 1,398$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Astros | 44c | 1,152$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Mariners | 20c | 1,091$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 45c | 1,062$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Astros | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…137fbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 12c | 999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 79c | 824.99$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners | 19c | 819$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 4c | 717.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 43c | 714.15$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Mariners | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 43c | 578.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 12c | 576.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 43c | 541.57$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.08 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 55c | 537.22$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.47 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…7fbfbacked Mariners | 7c | 537.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 47c | 519.16$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 55c | 498.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 42c | 495$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 44c | 472.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 58c | 448.28$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners | 56c | 442.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Astros | 44c | 405.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 3c | 381.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Mariners | 18c | 375$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…54e8backed Mariners | 13c | 371.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Mariners | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Mariners | 58c | 320.17$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed Mariners | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Mariners | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…610bbacked Mariners | 21c | 262.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 43c | 244.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Astros | 45c | 232$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Mariners | 56c | 209.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 22c | 185.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Mariners | 57c | 180.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 16c | 167.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a7…e1f9backed Astros | 65c | 167.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 17c | 166.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Mariners | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mariners | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mariners | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…5c6ebacked Astros | 45c | 114.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…345fbacked Astros | 45c | 109.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mariners | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Mariners | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bac…f7b1backed Mariners | 56c | 92.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…a583backed Mariners | 56c | 91.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6eacbacked Astros | 44c | 89.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…ff72backed Mariners | 57c | 87.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0adbbacked Astros | 45c | 86.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…5436backed Astros | 45c | 86.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…61a8backed Mariners | 57c | 84.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…b983backed Mariners | 57c | 84.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…4519backed Mariners | 56c | 83.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…1b5cbacked Mariners | 57c | 80.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mariners | 50c | 80.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5e74backed Astros | 45c | 80.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Mariners | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.