NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f92a910ca856e5da1298c303759086313d6a5edc2bee899c764c8d91b932ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Hurricanes, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Capitals | 42c | 60,259$25,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,166.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 48c | 50,880$24,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,370.54 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hurricanes | 59c | 34,416$20,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,266.46 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Capitals | 40c | 18,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 17,171$10,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.19 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Hurricanes | 56c | 15,698$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,790.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 14,870$8,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,686.7 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Capitals | 41c | 14,654$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,672.66 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 12,287$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 10,682$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Hurricanes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Capitals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.98 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Hurricanes | 59c | 9,810$5,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,812.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Capitals | 41c | 8,326$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes | 55c | 7,003$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.51 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…a365backed Hurricanes | 2c | 6,441$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 74c | 6,241$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.43 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 6,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Capitals | 44c | 5,493$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.25 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Hurricanes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Hurricanes | 60c | 4,956$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Capitals | 40c | 4,950$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Capitals | 52c | 4,091$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Capitals | 40c | 3,723$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.52 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 42c | 3,703$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.51 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Hurricanes | 60c | 3,550$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,691$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.35 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 41c | 2,604$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 40c | 2,588$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.56 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 2,568$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.16 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Hurricanes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Hurricanes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hurricanes | 55c | 2,450$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.93 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Capitals | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 2,416$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.43 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Capitals | 45c | 2,176$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.93 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,039$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.64 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Hurricanes | 38c | 2,029$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 2,022$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.06 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Hurricanes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Hurricanes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 41c | 1,990$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.62 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Capitals | 65c | 1,963$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.52 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…f649backed Capitals | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Capitals | 49c | 1,897$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 1,838$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.72 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Hurricanes | 61c | 1,806$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Capitals | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1f…20c8backed Capitals | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Capitals | 45c | 1,772$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Capitals | 39c | 1,766$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.99 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 41c | 1,708$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.88 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 44c | 1,675$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hurricanes | 3c | 1,646$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Capitals | 49c | 1,572$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.23 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hurricanes | 57c | 1,543$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.95 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Capitals | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Hurricanes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes | 5c | 1,490$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 70c | 1,434$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Hurricanes | 60c | 1,358$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes | 57c | 1,312$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.91 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Capitals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Capitals | 40c | 1,245$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 40c | 1,100$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Hurricanes | 28c | 1,030$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Hurricanes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Capitals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Hurricanes | 14c | 960.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…3865backed Hurricanes | 56c | 955$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…4604backed Hurricanes | 56c | 945$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Hurricanes | 57c | 905$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5958backed Hurricanes | 57c | 895$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Capitals | 45c | 885.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 855.3$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.18 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes | 60c | 822.99$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.79 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Hurricanes | 60c | 759$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 755.21$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Capitals | 41c | 752.85$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.18 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 43c | 668.87$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.25 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Capitals | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hurricanes | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 44c | 593.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.2 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Capitals | 75c | 588.6$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 71c | 566.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Capitals | 43c | 558.44$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Hurricanes | 23c | 557.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Hurricanes | 56c | 550$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…b1e0backed Capitals | 45c | 530.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Hurricanes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…4e47backed Capitals | 67c | 521.58$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Capitals | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Capitals | 41c | 499.71$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 11c | 492$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Hurricanes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.