NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b060410a91bc7403c4486c5b35e25df06f3e949520b0d2509e1c165b4da4807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Panthers | 56c | 58,998$33,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,959.26 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 47,237$20,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,784.17 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers | 57c | 22,048$12,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,480.64 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 16,248$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.64 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers | 56c | 14,028$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 56c | 12,450$6,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 10,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 7,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Panthers | 56c | 7,829$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.85 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 5c | 6,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Panthers | 57c | 5,603$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,497$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 5,350$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.99 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.36 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 62c | 4,181$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.39 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers | 56c | 3,407$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.06 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 3,105$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…be83backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,062$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,799$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 55c | 2,786$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.58 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,746$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Panthers | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,940$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…dbf5backed Panthers | 63c | 1,836$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 56c | 1,791$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.25 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…0771backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,766$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,719$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Panthers | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,653$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.47 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,558$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 57c | 1,506$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.85 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,494$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.51 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,451$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Panthers | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,400$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.36 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…e0b7backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,169$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,167$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 1,120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,071$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 75c | 991.03$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 921.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 59c | 855$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.55 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Maple Leafs | 15c | 744.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 660.53$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 626.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Panthers | 58c | 618.97$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Maple Leafs | 4c | 599.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 592.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 574.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 571.69$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…00f7backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 532.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Panthers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Panthers | 56c | 493.81$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 56c | 472.65$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…6000backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 470.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…b82fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 454.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 427.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…5a11backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 422.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Panthers | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…632cbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 410.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…8d16backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 405.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 401.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Panthers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 378.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…2af8backed Panthers | 57c | 376.37$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 374.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…87d4backed Panthers | 57c | 372.61$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…7ddebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 367.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers | 57c | 361.21$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Panthers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…50cabacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 342.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 337$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Panthers | 61c | 336.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…d03dbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 332$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 332$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Panthers | 58c | 313.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 313.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Panthers | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Maple Leafs | 8c | 297.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Panthers | 57c | 296.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…1a5ebacked Panthers | 57c | 280.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Panthers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…c9e6backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 260$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 257$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.