TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb54b…e482backed Yes35c29,328$10,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,996.67540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No66c22,714$14,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,913.5713547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No63c11,333$7,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.392040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c9,511$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.9279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes41c9,380$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,534.3217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes47c7,096$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.3711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes37c4,835$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.4830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No56c4,828$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.3520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes41c4,550$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No54c4,354$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.4538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6e…eea6backed No63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No63c3,346$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.932158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No59c3,296$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.7656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes37c3,000$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.254843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No58c2,867$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.054252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes39c2,845$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.678045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…9188backed Yes38c2,620$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No62c2,500$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.2921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes38c2,105$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.2627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c2,020$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.31,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes41c2,000$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.1118929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1004…e818backed Yes37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes38c1,968$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.932138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8463…a509backed No63c1,900$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Yes37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes38c1,482$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.362236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3d…f7afbacked Yes37c1,400$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes37c1,242$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.614124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes38c1,078$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.158742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ed…8aa5backed No16c1,001$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa890…1c30backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f67…15c4backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c996.19$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc7…5697backed No63c995$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked No60c973$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc661…56debacked Yes39c889.79$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No59c847$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes39c776.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7814156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No57c734.02$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes37c710.59$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes37c600.05$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No10c589.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.245257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes38c580$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.63450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes37c540.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.512934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes37c511.05$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.967835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ca…f4c7backed Yes73c500.04$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab99…b3afbacked No63c460$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes39c403.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3818740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65b…36dfbacked Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No7c391$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes80c376.09$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.222965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes36c370$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed No32c350.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.321921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a68…57bfbacked Yes37c350$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7385…e780backed Yes37c340$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes38c338.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.266939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No63c318.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45b…d775backed No63c315$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No64c313$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.323658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…dbadbacked No63c310$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18311761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c84…9296backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.713275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd86…1e84backed Yes78c282.54$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c1…e39cbacked Yes37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fb2…0a21backed No26c254.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db2…5634backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No62c239.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7852060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed No64c231.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.751060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed No63c226.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.754334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No10c224.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe300…f71abacked Yes38c205.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ee…5a82backed Yes38c195.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0433…8b4fbacked No61c195.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No9c191$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1913727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No62c172.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.242962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…e3f2backed No63c165$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc865…f5d9backed Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.166346%29 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc46…b8a3backed No63c155$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed No62c149.49$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x818b…ab30backed Yes41c147.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ae…46d6backed Yes38c144.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21a…1156backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5be…7286backed No64c135$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Yes37c135$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.052853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes74c134.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.013450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.