Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf496c9660163c698ac495c69b96c5a10a15b47ad9e2a19eefe645bde09b78a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ae4…9188backed Yes | 30c | 11,483$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…1bb9backed Yes | 29c | 9,998$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a63…651dbacked No | 71c | 9,998$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 3,619$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.08 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 10c | 3,571$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 28c | 2,750$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 2,144$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 1,589$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.94 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,432$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 1,362$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.11 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…3292backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…527ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…be45backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…f50cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Yes | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…5c41backed Yes | 29c | 990$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…34acbacked No | 71c | 945$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…2405backed No | 71c | 945$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…b3f8backed Yes | 29c | 820$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…89eabacked Yes | 29c | 820$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 29c | 803.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 799$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 70c | 651.6$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 71c | 626.98$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.71 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 618.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…d062backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…8aa5backed No | 78c | 379.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…bae9backed No | 71c | 345$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 71c | 333.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 30c | 331.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…6187backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 284$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 77c | 226.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed Yes | 25c | 198.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…18f1backed No | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…a761backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…9dafbacked No | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 70c | 152$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 25c | 141.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked Yes | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 14c | 127.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked No | 72c | 102.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…cb9cbacked No | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked No | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…fddebacked Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 29c | 53.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…5e6bbacked No | 76c | 52.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 45.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 71c | 41.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…f42bbacked Yes | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…f1b1backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…4a6ebacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…b31cbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…9774backed No | 72c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…5916backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…d1a5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 72c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.