Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c842f2b2d08d95060160ec3af6abcdda1d1c514e9da6897cf2bdf71af0a1de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebd8…e9b1backed No | 65c | 51,900$33,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…8488backed Yes | 35c | 51,600$18,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…0bd7backed Yes | 35c | 29,400$10,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999c…c507backed No | 65c | 29,100$18,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 65c | 27,989$18,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,796.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 35c | 27,817$9,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,684.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 37c | 5,520$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.52 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 68c | 2,201$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.15 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 2,015$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.4 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 58c | 1,800$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.37 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 1,549$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.47 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 1,546$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.31 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,196$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 15c | 1,082$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…03cebacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…72d4backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…9acdbacked No | 66c | 970$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…aaa2backed Yes | 35c | 897.14$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 68c | 869$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…df2dbacked Yes | 31c | 843.75$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 5c | 768.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 682.75$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…3a53backed Yes | 32c | 652.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…922ebacked Yes | 34c | 515$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 4c | 474.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked No | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…6437backed No | 66c | 445$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…ce32backed No | 70c | 434.49$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 70c | 430.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked No | 75c | 399.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…58dfbacked No | 66c | 365$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes | 9c | 336.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 35c | 334.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…333ebacked No | 66c | 320$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…6573backed Yes | 34c | 320$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…6187backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…6751backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 268.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 19c | 199.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…fa08backed Yes | 53c | 196.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 34c | 196.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…941ebacked No | 66c | 175$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…f2e4backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 35c | 139.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…dc86backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 119.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 36c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 32c | 82.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…25debacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed Yes | 35c | 64.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…c4aebacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…5ff6backed Yes | 32c | 56.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…b2ebbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 34c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…c256backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…0183backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…527ebacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2a20backed No | 66c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-20?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.