NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d6983295e583b41a99212c5df03956f5c540f1a48b98f7f588f49ffde1fbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Stars, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 41c | 120,000$48,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,964.91 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Stars | 38c | 80,006$30,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,710.09 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Stars | 39c | 56,220$22,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,061.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Oilers | 62c | 45,566$28,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,457.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Oilers | 62c | 24,034$14,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,132.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Oilers | 61c | 23,042$13,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048.15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Stars | 39c | 20,415$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,961.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers | 61c | 19,000$11,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Stars | 2c | 14,333$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 11c | 13,760$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.32 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 12,419$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Oilers | 61c | 12,164$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.93 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 60c | 11,000$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Stars | 3c | 10,559$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 60c | 10,433$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Oilers | 63c | 10,226$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Oilers | 59c | 10,092$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.31 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Stars | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 38c | 9,393$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.01 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Stars | 5c | 8,726$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc642…565ebacked Stars | 13c | 6,402$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Oilers | 60c | 5,959$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.69 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Stars | 43c | 5,896$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.45 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 20c | 5,546$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.14 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 37c | 5,485$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Stars | 39c | 4,959$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Stars | 39c | 4,597$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.01 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 38c | 4,447$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.68 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…20e8backed Oilers | 61c | 4,087$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Stars | 1c | 3,866$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Stars | 1c | 3,810$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Oilers | 60c | 3,739$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers | 62c | 3,718$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.84 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Stars | 6c | 3,610$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.68 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,551$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.35 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Stars | 14c | 3,433$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.57 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Stars | 2c | 3,395$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars | 27c | 3,239$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.45 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 60c | 3,215$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.28 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Stars | 39c | 3,181$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.67 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…2a73backed Stars | 40c | 3,005$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 61c | 3,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 38c | 2,542$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.03 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 23c | 2,541$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 56c | 2,333$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.56 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 7c | 2,229$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Stars | 3c | 2,150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Stars | 14c | 2,000$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 59c | 1,945$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.33 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…35e0backed Oilers | 62c | 1,860$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars | 35c | 1,721$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 9c | 1,596$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,560$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.15 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Stars | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Stars | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Stars | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…bb81backed Stars | 39c | 1,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Stars | 15c | 1,013$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Oilers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 59c | 892.74$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Oilers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Oilers | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Oilers | 64c | 781.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Stars | 10c | 766$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Oilers | 59c | 746$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Stars | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Stars | 13c | 700$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…4738backed Stars | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Oilers | 61c | 695.86$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Oilers | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…499cbacked Stars | 39c | 646.15$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Stars | 22c | 626.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…65a6backed Stars | 30c | 618.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Oilers | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Stars | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Oilers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oilers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Stars | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Stars | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Oilers | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stars | 39c | 499.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Oilers | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Oilers | 64c | 468.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Oilers | 61c | 462.3$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Stars | 40c | 449.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Stars | 24c | 401$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Oilers | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Oilers | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Oilers | 62c | 376.05$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Oilers | 63c | 355.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Oilers | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…cd46backed Stars | 18c | 337.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Oilers | 60c | 337$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Stars | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Oilers | 60c | 330.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Oilers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.