Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485d4cf622a381fd12c9701f751ae689bf4d2c55967021b044b94611c60d7fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 43c | 60,002$26,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,972.83 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 56c | 54,995$30,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,954.43 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 59c | 23,927$14,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,097.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,809.52 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 49c | 18,149$8,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,274.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Yes | 45c | 11,180$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed No | 28c | 10,163$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 58c | 9,172$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 8,451$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.78 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.99 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 54c | 7,462$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 65c | 5,386$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed No | 58c | 4,905$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 68c | 4,560$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Yes | 42c | 4,536$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 4,347$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,084$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.82 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 65c | 3,636$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.68 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 45c | 3,214$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.45 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 65c | 3,086$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 32c | 3,018$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 9c | 3,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 65c | 2,857$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 65c | 2,837$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 57c | 2,670$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…ba8bbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Yes | 64c | 1,845$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,640$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.29 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 61c | 1,632$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.65 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 54c | 1,348$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.66 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…fad6backed Yes | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,230$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,180$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.91 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,072$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,031$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.45 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 60c | 978.1$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.27 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 974.48$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 64c | 945.54$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.17 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 58c | 797.56$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.53 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 42c | 791.89$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.75 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 49c | 760.49$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 9c | 593.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 54c | 585.07$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…965bbacked Yes | 64c | 569.55$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 60c | 562.49$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 47c | 488.6$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.23 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked No | 37c | 484.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked No | 5c | 471.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 43c | 458.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4086backed Yes | 42c | 424.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 43c | 381.14$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 58c | 332.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Yes | 43c | 274.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed No | 21c | 249.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…bf18backed Yes | 47c | 247.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 9c | 233.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked No | 55c | 226.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 44c | 217.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 78c | 216.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 43c | 185.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 184.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed No | 62c | 170.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed No | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 15c | 164.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 163.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 54c | 149.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 57c | 144.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 67c | 136.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 59c | 135.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…01dfbacked Yes | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 49c | 130.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…412dbacked Yes | 44c | 123.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b3…3dccbacked Yes | 44c | 119.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…25b3backed Yes | 44c | 117.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Yes | 47c | 114.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…8cedbacked Yes | 44c | 110.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…df89backed No | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.