Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2443bae1f915dfd19c17a805c0214a24d0a7fe43e89f1e9f3593eb63b3eb83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 34c | 17,647$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 68c | 17,324$11,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.45 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 67c | 16,908$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.44 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.98 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 8,248$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.33 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 34c | 6,353$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 31c | 5,805$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.41 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 5,002$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.73 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,362$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 26c | 3,506$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 31c | 3,097$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…f0dfbacked Yes | 34c | 3,067$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Yes | 31c | 2,890$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 33c | 2,869$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.39 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 1c | 2,562$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 17c | 2,458$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 30c | 2,177$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.41 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 2,177$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.65 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 33c | 2,018$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 31c | 1,888$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 1,769$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.06 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 20c | 1,749$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,684$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 31c | 1,626$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…6df2backed Yes | 30c | 1,552$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 69c | 1,532$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.5 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 34c | 1,400$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 32c | 1,239$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 67c | 1,141$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,125$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…67c4backed Yes | 34c | 1,111$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 30c | 1,038$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 71c | 985.6$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.63 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 31c | 979.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 79c | 950.97$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…ac2ebacked Yes | 17c | 887.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 34c | 880.41$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 16c | 878.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 28c | 714.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 34c | 635.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 28c | 626.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 37c | 546.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 537.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 68c | 499$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 11c | 456.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 409.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 31c | 333$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…eccebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 24c | 316.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…55f3backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…6685backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 66c | 308$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 304.67$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 68c | 284.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 7c | 272.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…bd3ebacked Yes | 20c | 263.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7443backed Yes | 31c | 256.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 71c | 233$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked No | 71c | 221.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…53ffbacked Yes | 18c | 219.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…da0cbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 36c | 187.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 179.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 24c | 167.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…aeadbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…ab22backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce9…3e8ebacked Yes | 34c | 145.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 31c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…ec9dbacked Yes | 31c | 134.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…f25dbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 69c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 68c | 119$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 34c | 116.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…906dbacked Yes | 31c | 107.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.