TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes34c17,647$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No68c17,324$11,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,602.4513857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No67c16,908$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.446953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.9830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c8,248$5,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.3379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes34c6,353$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1609235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes31c5,805$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.417844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c5,002$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.7368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes1c4,362$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.375257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.994553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes26c3,506$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.324843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes31c3,097$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba39…f0dfbacked Yes34c3,067$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+198.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Yes31c2,890$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes33c2,869$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.3914544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Yes1c2,562$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.571618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes17c2,458$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4259436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes30c2,177$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes32c2,177$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.6532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes33c2,018$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes31c1,888$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5813053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No69c1,769$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa088…d438backed Yes20c1,749$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes1c1,684$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes31c1,626$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2a…6df2backed Yes30c1,552$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No69c1,532$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Yes34c1,400$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.232437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes32c1,239$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed No67c1,141$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.484052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes14c1,125$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.51825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f63…67c4backed Yes34c1,111$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes30c1,038$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.884131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3209148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3208453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No71c985.6$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6314953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes31c979.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.48230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No79c950.97$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…ac2ebacked Yes17c887.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes34c880.41$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes16c878.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2487448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes28c714.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes34c635.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.29111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes28c626.34$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes37c546.53$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.688742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c537.86$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.361,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a24…ea91backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a2…962abacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No68c499$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes11c456.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.23537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No67c409.22$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes31c333$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.236023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7819…eccebacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes24c316.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.465633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7d…55f3backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3b…6685backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No66c308$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5721445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No70c304.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No68c284.16$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.934566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes7c272.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa265…bd3ebacked Yes20c263.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…7443backed Yes31c256.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.64580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+113%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No71c233$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.676051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf4…15ddbacked No71c221.24$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.131752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da1…53ffbacked Yes18c219.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4774…da0cbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5632822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes36c187.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.332334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c179.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8232737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes24c167.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…aeadbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d9…ab22backed Yes18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce9…3e8ebacked Yes34c145.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes31c140$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.84938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x978a…ec9dbacked Yes31c134.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8586…f25dbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No69c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.618752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No68c119$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0811252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes34c116.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.533551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Yes34c112$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcabe…906dbacked Yes31c107.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.