Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd90093fbc3e002e7a311219f21531c633fe1b46441bab668f59ccc6018554ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6656…c7c0backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…7794backed No | 75c | 9,996$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 4,283$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.86 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 75c | 3,959$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.64 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 6c | 2,380$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 25c | 2,308$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.88 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 26c | 1,895$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 25c | 1,174$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.53 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 27c | 929.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 74c | 903.11$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 25c | 731$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 719.23$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 25c | 678.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 26c | 673.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 24c | 641.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 18c | 552.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 74c | 503.85$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 449.37$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 26c | 389.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…1712backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 319.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…31d6backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 250.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 241.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 239.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…22dbbacked Yes | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 154$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed No | 75c | 134.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 75c | 120.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 26c | 115.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 9c | 111.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…056cbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…92abbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffd…6d12backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…c13bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 24c | 71.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…9f04backed Yes | 26c | 70.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Yes | 26c | 66.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5552…d1c2backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 24c | 49.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…fd7bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 75c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 76c | 27.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.