MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5452ec0bdf1c5c35d8ca351e155147dda70cae2089f0b0d233e87ea3f994444b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Padres | 57c | 26,149$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,248.68 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 57c | 11,612$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.18 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 40c | 8,109$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 29c | 4,760$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Braves | 37c | 2,553$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 53c | 2,451$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.75 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Braves | 57c | 2,163$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.11 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Padres | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 61c | 1,020$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 35c | 997.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.15 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 42c | 548.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 55c | 547.81$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.58 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Braves | 56c | 534.82$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Braves | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Braves | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Braves | 15c | 449.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres | 31c | 357.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 17c | 344.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Braves | 62c | 342.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves | 56c | 318.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Padres | 31c | 311.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 53c | 297.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves | 45c | 290.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Braves | 53c | 279$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 8c | 273$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Braves | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Braves | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Braves | 26c | 227.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 49c | 215$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Braves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 56c | 141.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 55c | 131.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Padres | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Braves | 50c | 119.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2193backed Padres | 43c | 114.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Braves | 62c | 102.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves | 55c | 97.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Braves | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Braves | 76c | 74.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Braves | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Padres | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Braves | 55c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Braves | 63c | 66.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Padres | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Braves | 35c | 65.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Padres | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Padres | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Braves | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Braves | 59c | 40.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Padres | 41c | 40.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 40c | 39.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Braves | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Padres | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Braves | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Padres | 37c | 34.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Padres | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Padres | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Braves | 52c | 33.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Braves | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 56c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Padres | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Padres | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Braves | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.