MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7d4bcd8a724296deb2b3a716141b62d6b172484360e4bcdca76d2c9f62d210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 44c | 31,872$13,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Cubs | 58c | 30,304$17,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,730.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3253…03f9backed Marlins | 44c | 28,090$12,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…2a18backed Cubs | 56c | 27,450$15,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,078 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Cubs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 44c | 19,273$8,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,480.27 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 56c | 11,494$6,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Cubs | 57c | 6,357$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.2 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 42c | 6,150$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.74 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 43c | 3,477$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.25 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 44c | 2,571$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.79 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Cubs | 57c | 2,010$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Marlins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…e18bbacked Marlins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2ceebacked Marlins | 45c | 1,978$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 45c | 1,965$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 46c | 1,330$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Cubs | 57c | 1,243$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.49 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,219$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.29 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Cubs | 59c | 1,212$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.82 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…e328backed Cubs | 55c | 1,153$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…d92ebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,067$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Cubs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cubs | 56c | 942.77$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.82 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 42c | 910.9$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Cubs | 55c | 909$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cubs | 56c | 880.07$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.43 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…10c6backed Cubs | 55c | 847$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 65c | 746.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 58c | 689.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 55c | 687.92$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marlins | 12c | 684.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…e9b1backed Cubs | 56c | 638.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 58c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Marlins | 13c | 585.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Marlins | 43c | 568.92$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Cubs | 57c | 528.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cubs | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 56c | 471.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Cubs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Marlins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…5634backed Cubs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 65c | 225.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 42c | 191.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cubs | 61c | 188.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Cubs | 57c | 173.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 67c | 167.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cubs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 40c | 162.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Marlins | 43c | 148.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Cubs | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…bf7cbacked Marlins | 45c | 138.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…19dcbacked Marlins | 44c | 125.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…fa08backed Cubs | 57c | 123.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Cubs | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Marlins | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 13c | 103.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3cc2backed Marlins | 45c | 102.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Cubs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cubs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cubs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Marlins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…9a99backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Cubs | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…3558backed Cubs | 57c | 96.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…7a3bbacked Marlins | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Cubs | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…1e55backed Cubs | 56c | 91.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cubs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cubs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…9325backed Cubs | 56c | 86.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…874bbacked Marlins | 45c | 84.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Cubs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…489dbacked Cubs | 56c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…b635backed Marlins | 45c | 79.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…e92abacked Cubs | 56c | 77.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Cubs | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…4c77backed Marlins | 45c | 74.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.