NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefad102092aa7521c558fb15c70b221b844ebe5846509f65e8500ab1686e1739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,717,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,769,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,717,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Clippers | 10c | 411,838$39,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,979.02 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b229backed Clippers | 45c | 191,260$85,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,339.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Nuggets | 54c | 185,041$99,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,118.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Nuggets | 53c | 121,951$64,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,127.12 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Clippers | 7c | 98,720$6,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,606.13 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 46c | 85,103$39,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,440.64 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Clippers | 25c | 79,240$19,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,958.97 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 54c | 72,339$39,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,296.4 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 55c | 70,210$38,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,632.13 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 59c | 55,831$32,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,950.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 43,668$19,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,715.77 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Clippers | 36c | 40,958$14,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,803.57 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Nuggets | 54c | 40,750$22,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,745 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Clippers | 47c | 40,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Clippers | 9c | 39,085$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.19 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250.21 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nuggets | 53c | 31,184$16,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,656.64 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Nuggets | 53c | 27,200$14,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,784 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers | 48c | 26,675$12,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,804 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Clippers | 0c | 25,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…ab5fbacked Clippers | 48c | 24,253$11,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,752.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Clippers | 47c | 21,515$10,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,111.91 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 63c | 21,471$13,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Clippers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 59c | 17,406$10,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.05 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Clippers | 41c | 17,197$6,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 15,943$8,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,605.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers | 2c | 14,042$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Clippers | 48c | 13,988$6,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,714.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Clippers | 18c | 13,100$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers | 50c | 12,514$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.21 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Nuggets | 52c | 12,200$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Clippers | 48c | 12,164$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.87 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Clippers | 41c | 11,554$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.44 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,525$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.56 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Clippers | 2c | 11,196$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers | 0c | 11,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Clippers | 1c | 10,400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked Clippers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 8cpaid | +1,041.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…0b25backed Nuggets | 52c | 9,998$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9efebacked Clippers | 48c | 9,998$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 9,830$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Clippers | 48c | 9,375$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 9,229$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.59 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 68c | 8,841$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.14 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Clippers | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Clippers | 3c | 8,000$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Clippers | 47c | 7,278$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.28 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Clippers | 0c | 7,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Clippers | 47c | 7,005$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.49 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…3592backed Clippers | 47c | 6,644$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Clippers | 9c | 6,588$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.55 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clippers | 43c | 6,235$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.01 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 5,814$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.34 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Clippers | 53c | 5,788$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.67 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers | 48c | 5,744$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.1 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Nuggets | 72c | 5,729$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.49 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,434$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.45 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 5,338$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.69 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Clippers | 53c | 5,318$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.14 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 68c | 5,090$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.07 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Clippers | 47c | 5,066$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.67 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Clippers | 50c | 5,063$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.01 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Clippers | 3c | 5,005$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers | 19c | 4,980$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.8 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,511$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.23 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,466$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.04 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Clippers | 46c | 4,372$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Clippers | 2c | 4,300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…4348backed Clippers | 48c | 4,158$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,101$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.66 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers | 46c | 4,006$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.19 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…fad6backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,980$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.51 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Clippers | 36c | 3,856$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Clippers | 47c | 3,799$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.52 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,598$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.32 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,577$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.77 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,533$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.06 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Clippers | 35c | 3,500$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Clippers | 8c | 3,452$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2f45backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,333$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,295$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Clippers | 30c | 3,245$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.52 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Clippers | 48c | 3,224$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Clippers | 1c | 3,052$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 51c | 3,000$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.66 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,970$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.64 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,962$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.52 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Clippers | 47c | 2,853$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.01 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,828$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.