Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68d584b69ddc8383bafd2f4ddad29bf560f70d35a52edb1618aec57fdbf84f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 28c | 61,570$17,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,437.58 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed No | 30c | 28,575$8,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,572.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 30c | 26,073$7,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,821.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 70c | 23,298$16,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,004.98 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 71c | 14,367$10,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 73c | 13,699$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.63 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 15c | 9,030$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.23 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 71c | 8,449$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.25 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 3c | 7,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Yes | 71c | 6,193$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 6,153$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.26 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 72c | 6,074$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.17 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes | 72c | 5,408$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes | 75c | 4,007$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,680$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.94 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked No | 31c | 3,363$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 72c | 3,200$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed No | 29c | 3,112$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 3,050$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.49 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4086backed Yes | 70c | 2,881$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 29c | 2,628$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.05 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 28c | 2,452$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.57 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…b40dbacked No | 29c | 2,400$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 22c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 71c | 1,870$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 69c | 1,805$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.91 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 71c | 1,599$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 72c | 1,593$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Yes | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 29c | 1,224$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.16 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed No | 30c | 1,171$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked No | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 72c | 973.99$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 73c | 926.16$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 73c | 888.6$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 71c | 810.98$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.84 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 4c | 800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 70c | 799.99$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 15c | 797.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked No | 30c | 766.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 8c | 722.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 71c | 691.55$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 72c | 638.87$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 29c | 562.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 75c | 534.85$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 73c | 513.7$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 71c | 510$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 71c | 438.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb584…4432backed Yes | 64c | 428.45$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 71c | 405.18$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 388.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 387.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 70c | 380.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 27c | 361.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 15c | 355.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 71c | 352.89$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 73c | 340.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 75c | 337.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 28c | 337.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 73c | 324.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…fbb8backed Yes | 73c | 294.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 71c | 269.56$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 70c | 269.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…5b56backed Yes | 72c | 230$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 27c | 220$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 71c | 212.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 28c | 205.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…c4c4backed Yes | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 23c | 192.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 73c | 191.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Yes | 72c | 186.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 70c | 182.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 70c | 164.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.