Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c341eeebc73dcf07265eca11639b212bf68eddd52dcbf9e6a770b4f4ae0e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ea8…999cbacked Yes | 12c | 119,000$14,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 11c | 22,727$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 10,466$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.9 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 11c | 7,402$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 1c | 5,140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,601$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.13 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…3c8abacked Yes | 3c | 3,565$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 6c | 2,738$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 12c | 2,583$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,166$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 11c | 1,622$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 9c | 1,231$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,009$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Yes | 11c | 999.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 10c | 751.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 11c | 656.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215e…faafbacked Yes | 4c | 598.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 12c | 575$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Yes | 11c | 448$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes | 12c | 394.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 11c | 390.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 10c | 344.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…e927backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…6b64backed Yes | 12c | 314.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…133ebacked Yes | 12c | 308.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 12c | 265$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…d534backed Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 6c | 190.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…4db9backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc710…afe5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…5664backed Yes | 12c | 152.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 11c | 134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 12c | 116.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 11c | 100.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-02?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.