NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0144fa3adf5e457d9d415b848c865811276e485dfb222f82a3028ad2e0139e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 26,021$15,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,294.63 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Capitals | 45c | 14,000$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 46c | 11,291$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.43 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 59c | 10,077$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Hurricanes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…2128backed Capitals | 47c | 9,998$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…4608backed Hurricanes | 53c | 9,998$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 8,458$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Capitals | 45c | 5,739$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Hurricanes | 55c | 5,578$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.38 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 46c | 5,558$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.93 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hurricanes | 56c | 5,444$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…469bbacked Capitals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Capitals | 47c | 4,977$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes | 55c | 4,882$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.99 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes | 55c | 4,814$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.02 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Capitals | 46c | 4,278$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.88 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Hurricanes | 56c | 4,250$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes | 53c | 4,033$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 44c | 4,015$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.65 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 44c | 3,489$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.3 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 45c | 3,353$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.29 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Capitals | 46c | 3,087$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Capitals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 2,877$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.7 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Hurricanes | 55c | 2,758$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.2 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 46c | 2,500$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Hurricanes | 55c | 2,358$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.26 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,351$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.44 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hurricanes | 55c | 2,350$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.11 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 45c | 2,320$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.98 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Capitals | 42c | 2,261$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.83 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 2,136$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.45 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Hurricanes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 1,965$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.38 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Capitals | 45c | 1,955$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Capitals | 46c | 1,747$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.82 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Capitals | 4c | 1,683$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Capitals | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Hurricanes | 50c | 1,504$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.87 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.96 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,456$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.11 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…3c37backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,345$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…f230backed Capitals | 47c | 1,319$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Capitals | 44c | 1,300$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…baf7backed Hurricanes | 54c | 1,281$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Capitals | 71c | 1,218$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Capitals | 45c | 1,207$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…56f1backed Capitals | 48c | 1,206$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Capitals | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Capitals | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…3bacbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,097$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…ef25backed Capitals | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…dad7backed Capitals | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…8985backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Capitals | 44c | 1,040$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Hurricanes | 56c | 1,040$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hurricanes | 57c | 1,032$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 45c | 1,021$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.36 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hurricanes | 59c | 1,019$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…3b0bbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…773abacked Capitals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Capitals | 46c | 923.91$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Hurricanes | 55c | 889$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Hurricanes | 55c | 871.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.38 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Capitals | 45c | 856.22$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Capitals | 45c | 846.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Capitals | 41c | 828.47$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 61c | 815.26$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.57 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 759.13$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 723.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.01 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 44c | 690$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Capitals | 45c | 645.62$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 48c | 617.25$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Hurricanes | 55c | 599.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Capitals | 46c | 576.87$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 42c | 570.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Capitals | 6c | 566.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Hurricanes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Capitals | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…8132backed Hurricanes | 55c | 512.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 46c | 501.84$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Hurricanes | 55c | 500.01$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Hurricanes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Capitals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…a5fbbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 487.27$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Hurricanes | 55c | 449.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hurricanes | 54c | 445.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes | 55c | 443.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 46c | 439.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 46c | 430.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Capitals | 48c | 417.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.