NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f954f5b43bece3e2aea3e339c7f3e49d46cccfe9dc0f25afe90a75446c2ce90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,492,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,776,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,492,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Warriors | 50c | 258,524$129,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,595.19 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 48c | 208,256$99,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,350.9 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Rockets | 55c | 129,999$71,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,299.66 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Rockets | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 50c | 96,543$48,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,359.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Rockets | 47c | 91,738$43,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,220.01 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Rockets | 56c | 89,223$49,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,964.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 44c | 79,258$34,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,384.48 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 56c | 57,627$32,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,111.05 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rockets | 51c | 49,903$25,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,375 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 26c | 38,632$9,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,964.13 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 45c | 38,472$17,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,202.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Rockets | 56c | 38,260$21,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,465.39 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Rockets | 56c | 32,054$17,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,950.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Rockets | 18c | 31,151$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.45 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Warriors | 71c | 28,450$20,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.09 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 28c | 28,423$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.63 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…ed7bbacked Warriors | 49c | 25,540$12,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,904.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Rockets | 56c | 24,691$13,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,823.57 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 32c | 24,645$7,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,992.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 69c | 22,818$15,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.78 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…38a0backed Rockets | 45c | 21,996$9,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,898.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 45c | 21,307$9,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800.28 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 44c | 20,385$8,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,415.43 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Warriors | 45c | 19,971$8,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,984.05 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockets | 55c | 19,788$10,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,883.44 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockets | 29c | 18,892$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.36 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 44c | 18,777$8,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,515.21 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 45c | 17,438$7,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,590.87 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Warriors | 77c | 17,263$13,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.3 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 55c | 17,239$9,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,757.75 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 53c | 17,130$9,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,047.82 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Warriors | 45c | 17,054$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.74 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Rockets | 55c | 14,255$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Rockets | 56c | 14,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Warriors | 44c | 13,960$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,817.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 43c | 13,928$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.48 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 29c | 13,165$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.47 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 49c | 13,041$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,642.96 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Rockets | 54c | 12,400$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 32c | 12,047$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.48 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Warriors | 44c | 12,045$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.45 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rockets | 57c | 11,427$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.81 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Warriors | 77c | 11,123$8,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Rockets | 0c | 10,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Rockets | 12c | 9,675$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.11 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Rockets | 57c | 9,386$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Rockets | 52c | 9,146$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.76 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 78c | 8,859$6,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.83 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…ab5fbacked Warriors | 45c | 8,636$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 9c | 8,450$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.39 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 3c | 8,183$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Warriors | 77c | 7,770$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.06 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2f45backed Warriors | 43c | 7,752$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…bbbdbacked Rockets | 23c | 6,890$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…3259backed Warriors | 46c | 6,482$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rockets | 48c | 6,258$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Rockets | 35c | 6,196$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.42 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 52c | 6,025$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.77 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…4348backed Rockets | 57c | 5,426$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Rockets | 35c | 5,294$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.89 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Rockets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.98 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Warriors | 77c | 5,000$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.86 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Warriors | 45c | 4,897$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.23 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rockets | 57c | 4,861$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.4 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Warriors | 44c | 4,738$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked Rockets | 56c | 4,700$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Warriors | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 54c | 4,540$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.71 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Warriors | 44c | 4,496$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.76 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Rockets | 56c | 4,404$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 44c | 4,376$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.07 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 45c | 4,302$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.04 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rockets | 56c | 4,140$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.52 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Warriors | 76c | 4,116$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Warriors | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Warriors | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 32cpaid | +201.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockets | 31c | 3,871$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.73 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Warriors | 57c | 3,849$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.43 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Rockets | 32c | 3,757$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 44c | 3,720$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockets | 5c | 3,537$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Rockets | 55c | 3,530$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.68 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Rockets | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Warriors | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets | 56c | 3,445$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.45 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rockets | 13c | 3,331$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,246$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…0313backed Rockets | 57c | 3,184$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rockets | 23c | 3,086$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.58 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Warriors | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 56c | 3,000$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.9 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Warriors | 44c | 2,839$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.91 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…ba30backed Rockets | 56c | 2,820$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.