NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f98caff0f77321445eb119f9ed9083e65b48140667bd8ea82dd8f8dfb25ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights | 50c | 22,330$11,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,253.55 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 35c | 21,511$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,563.38 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Golden Knights | 32c | 20,007$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,467.74 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Golden Knights | 54c | 19,484$10,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,521.62 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 45c | 17,824$8,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,803.35 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 54c | 14,518$7,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.11 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers | 54c | 14,354$7,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.25 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Oilers | 49c | 14,217$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Golden Knights | 72c | 13,892$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Golden Knights | 45c | 12,925$5,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.29 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5486…f674backed Oilers | 45c | 9,995$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…3c44backed Golden Knights | 55c | 9,995$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 7,407$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.97 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Golden Knights | 29c | 7,315$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.72 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers | 47c | 6,637$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Golden Knights | 51c | 6,527$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.16 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Oilers | 72c | 5,977$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.68 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 6c | 4,960$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 43c | 4,713$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.57 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Oilers | 41c | 4,653$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 54c | 4,507$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.6 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,349$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 44c | 4,295$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.45 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 44c | 4,295$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.35 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Oilers | 41c | 4,189$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Golden Knights | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Oilers | 43c | 3,985$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights | 47c | 3,865$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.31 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Oilers | 48c | 3,551$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Oilers | 39c | 3,496$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Oilers | 44c | 3,005$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Oilers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Golden Knights | 37c | 2,974$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,884$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers | 46c | 2,828$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.64 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,790$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.03 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,745$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,705$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.75 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Oilers | 46c | 2,646$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.65 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers | 58c | 2,597$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Oilers | 35c | 2,578$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.4 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Oilers | 45c | 2,478$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Oilers | 42c | 2,417$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Oilers | 76c | 2,388$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.73 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Golden Knights | 30c | 2,360$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Golden Knights | 23c | 2,207$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.91 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Oilers | 46c | 2,177$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Golden Knights | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.1 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,008$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.66 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Oilers | 45c | 2,000$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,991$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.49 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers | 44c | 1,990$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.22 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…da24backed Oilers | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,818$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,712$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.62 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Oilers | 56c | 1,606$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,521$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.17 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Oilers | 46c | 1,518$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.36 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,502$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers | 43c | 1,450$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.47 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Oilers | 73c | 1,447$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.66 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Golden Knights | 47c | 1,400$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Oilers | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Oilers | 72c | 1,397$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,348$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.54 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,331$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.27 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Oilers | 32c | 1,320$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers | 48c | 1,255$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.3 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,229$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.23 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,078$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,078$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights | 43c | 1,072$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.06 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Oilers | 43c | 1,044$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Oilers | 44c | 999.92$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.96 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…7b65backed Golden Knights | 56c | 964.29$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…d88bbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 937.5$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Oilers | 33c | 909.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.24 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Golden Knights | 27c | 900.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 55c | 842.63$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.97 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Golden Knights | 17c | 800$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Golden Knights | 52c | 799.6$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights | 33c | 769.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 54c | 768.53$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…4e47backed Golden Knights | 70c | 744.37$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e498backed Golden Knights | 30c | 728.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers | 46c | 720$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Oilers | 43c | 674.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.21 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…8d92backed Oilers | 36c | 672.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Oilers | 30c | 670$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.3 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Oilers | 45c | 663.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.