Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x333d038196d2d4201177a6dac568920ab2993a29ec8389de809351560ef794ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,149,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,369,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,149,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 43c | 232,557$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,557.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Yes | 1c | 197,726$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 59c | 42,656$25,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,167.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 56c | 34,262$19,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,215.02 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…651bbacked No | 48c | 33,350$16,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,342 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…d5cebacked No | 48c | 32,855$15,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,084.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0132…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 32,855$17,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,084.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…d7a5backed No | 48c | 27,390$13,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,242.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…e3c1backed Yes | 52c | 25,850$13,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,442 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 43c | 14,460$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280.89 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 54c | 12,753$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.01 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 43c | 12,110$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,945.08 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 55c | 9,148$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 39c | 8,603$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.95 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 50c | 6,849$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.39 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 6,819$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.24 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 43c | 6,129$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Yes | 51c | 5,869$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 42c | 5,663$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.49 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…b63bbacked Yes | 52c | 5,390$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes | 57c | 5,369$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 57c | 5,096$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.78 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 63c | 4,764$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 37c | 4,623$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed No | 36c | 3,883$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 77c | 3,675$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 54c | 3,593$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…4348backed Yes | 58c | 3,378$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…dd52backed No | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes | 12c | 2,813$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 58c | 2,527$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…c95fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,465$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 50c | 2,309$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 57c | 2,065$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 49c | 2,032$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.9 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,942$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 57c | 1,838$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.43 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 1,791$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.58 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 48c | 1,683$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.08 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 30c | 1,542$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 57c | 1,284$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,160$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 42c | 1,151$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.54 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 59c | 1,045$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 58c | 951.72$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…4446backed Yes | 53c | 945.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 53c | 945.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 53c | 944.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 78c | 879.08$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 60c | 878.97$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.38 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 56c | 874.3$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 19c | 869.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 66c | 860.15$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.68 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked No | 48c | 857.57$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 53c | 837.34$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.32 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 56c | 820.33$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 74c | 800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 59c | 785.34$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.35 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 8c | 770.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 60c | 704.58$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 46c | 626.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 5c | 613.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 43c | 603.28$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…f11ebacked Yes | 17c | 560.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…83bdbacked Yes | 59c | 530$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…5b56backed Yes | 56c | 529.64$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked Yes | 77c | 520.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 47c | 511.67$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 40c | 505.57$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked Yes | 53c | 505.47$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 45c | 500.44$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 50c | 432.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 44c | 392.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…a27ebacked Yes | 59c | 386.41$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 52c | 373$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 54c | 372.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 49c | 367.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 63c | 363.66$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Yes | 76c | 345.25$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 58c | 332.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 53c | 325.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…b606backed Yes | 47c | 319.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.