Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf628e805e7153903d698d628fa63b1a37a264770e4426787f40e362d84591fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05f1…9357backed No | 78c | 143,000$111,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…2a2dbacked Yes | 22c | 141,000$31,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 19c | 21,085$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,085.12 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 8,098$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.93 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,490$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,196.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 62c | 6,876$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.94 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 79c | 4,562$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.76 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 33c | 3,664$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.42 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 17c | 3,276$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.9 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 2,128$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.51 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,910$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.57 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,780$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 35c | 1,350$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 68c | 1,144$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 16c | 1,103$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,040$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.82 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 78c | 779.07$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 27c | 699.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 17c | 657.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 30c | 618.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…f0dfbacked Yes | 18c | 579.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 72c | 473.6$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 75c | 382.32$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 76c | 343$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 25c | 333$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.88 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 70c | 329.66$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 22c | 249.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 70c | 241.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed Yes | 28c | 228.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 66c | 226.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 74c | 212.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 209$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Yes | 20c | 205$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked No | 78c | 187.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes | 70c | 166.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 22c | 152.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…fcd5backed Yes | 76c | 131.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes | 20c | 126.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 19c | 105.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed No | 78c | 96.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…2c4bbacked No | 74c | 81.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 20c | 79.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…631abacked No | 74c | 76.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 78c | 73.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 79c | 72.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…93c3backed No | 74c | 69.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 72c | 66.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes | 80c | 65.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…76bebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 44.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…faf9backed No | 77c | 43.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-03?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.