NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0871657e1c791fbb60a4f9770327b368202509e0d3bca9752754d4b695d77ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Avalanche, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Stars | 43c | 69,134$29,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,430.85 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Stars | 42c | 65,144$27,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,107.93 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Avalanche | 58c | 52,247$30,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,046.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Avalanche | 56c | 49,570$27,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,759.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Avalanche | 64c | 39,721$25,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,351.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Stars | 41c | 29,692$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,392.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Avalanche | 60c | 26,888$16,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,132.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 54c | 23,808$12,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,931.37 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Stars | 41c | 20,402$8,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,036.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Avalanche | 59c | 15,780$9,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,278.75 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 40c | 14,200$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Stars | 25c | 12,700$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.78 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 12,000$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,071.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 32c | 11,831$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Stars | 48c | 8,523$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 64c | 8,076$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.79 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Avalanche | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Avalanche | 59c | 6,826$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Avalanche | 73c | 6,700$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.99 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Avalanche | 60c | 6,561$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.47 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Stars | 40c | 6,343$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.07 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Avalanche | 59c | 5,813$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.71 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars | 29c | 5,485$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.05 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 40c | 5,244$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.79 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…9718backed Stars | 40c | 4,174$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Stars | 41c | 3,910$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.76 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 44c | 3,900$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.25 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…7ebebacked Stars | 40c | 3,587$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…6656backed Stars | 40c | 3,244$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…7271backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,155$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3a…11cebacked Avalanche | 60c | 3,068$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 24c | 2,964$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 29c | 2,638$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.29 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,544$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.37 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Stars | 29c | 2,503$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.96 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…1ad4backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,434$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…952ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,348$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Avalanche | 28c | 2,333$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,272$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Stars | 44c | 2,262$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.22 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Avalanche | 78c | 2,239$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.97 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Stars | 22c | 2,140$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.48 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Stars | 25c | 2,105$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.95 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.44 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.96 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,995$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.17 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Stars | 43c | 1,888$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.68 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,703$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.61 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,670$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.28 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 42c | 1,640$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Stars | 48c | 1,600$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Stars | 41c | 1,517$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Stars | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,438$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.54 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,382$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.91 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,300$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars | 33c | 1,195$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.89 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed Avalanche | 79c | 1,174$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,077$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Stars | 40c | 1,045$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,045$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Stars | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Stars | 24c | 961.9$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.04 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 41c | 954.75$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.59 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Avalanche | 46c | 945.45$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.2 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Avalanche | 77c | 867.85$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Avalanche | 79c | 857.38$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 33c | 850.01$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Avalanche | 67c | 842.93$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 41c | 811.87$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Avalanche | 64c | 802.44$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Stars | 45c | 771.11$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Avalanche | 58c | 761.17$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.12 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Stars | 18c | 757.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.29 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Stars | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Avalanche | 66c | 720.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Avalanche | 76c | 708.88$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.33 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Stars | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Avalanche | 62c | 693.55$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…0870backed Stars | 44c | 613.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Stars | 18c | 580$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…55debacked Avalanche | 60c | 578.33$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Avalanche | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc8…8f5dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Stars | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Avalanche | 58c | 486$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Stars | 42c | 479.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.75 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Stars | 40c | 468.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Avalanche | 60c | 457$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Stars | 44c | 440.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Stars | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Avalanche | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Avalanche | 45c | 397.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.