Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c16e00125aeb20bac3f181d5042e1c4fccbf63284708e7b9701688cddc60e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 58c | 145,620$85,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,577.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 41c | 137,053$56,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,812.48 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…4485backed Yes | 59c | 59,530$35,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,411.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…7281backed No | 41c | 48,300$19,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,803 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 1c | 16,972$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.15 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 48c | 15,230$7,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,370.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…dd52backed No | 41c | 9,850$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 56c | 6,303$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 44c | 6,030$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.95 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 55c | 4,591$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.39 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 4,401$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.86 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 67c | 4,087$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 43c | 3,800$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 52c | 3,561$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.88 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 54c | 3,030$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.62 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 57c | 2,600$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 44c | 2,595$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.64 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 42c | 2,135$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.7 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 47c | 1,890$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,800$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.6 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 41c | 1,798$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.35 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 43c | 1,652$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.84 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed No | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…b63bbacked No | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,144$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.74 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 58c | 1,143$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 45c | 1,129$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 44c | 1,107$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 47c | 1,048$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 58c | 1,007$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed No | 44c | 863.64$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 55c | 800$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes | 78c | 779.24$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed No | 45c | 706.06$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 56c | 600$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 55c | 599.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 43c | 460.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 57c | 446.76$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 41c | 415$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 60c | 352$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 57c | 342.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 47c | 310.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…ec6fbacked Yes | 63c | 295.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 228.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…a9a4backed Yes | 59c | 219.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 60c | 216.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 39c | 155.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…274dbacked No | 42c | 154.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…0972backed No | 43c | 150.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 50c | 135.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…8199backed No | 42c | 121.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…3d1cbacked No | 43c | 108.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…c205backed No | 43c | 108.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…c0b2backed No | 47c | 107.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 57c | 107.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…a896backed Yes | 59c | 106.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…853fbacked No | 47c | 100.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…890bbacked Yes | 54c | 100.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 60c | 100.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73f…b237backed Yes | 59c | 96.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…000fbacked No | 47c | 96.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…8b70backed Yes | 59c | 93.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…0867backed No | 43c | 93.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…7665backed Yes | 57c | 92.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…0991backed Yes | 54c | 92.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…e64fbacked Yes | 54c | 92.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…bc27backed Yes | 59c | 92.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Yes | 54c | 91.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3cc2backed Yes | 54c | 91.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…a3ccbacked Yes | 58c | 90.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…21a4backed Yes | 59c | 89.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65f…9589backed No | 42c | 89.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36df…d282backed Yes | 54c | 89.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…6566backed Yes | 59c | 89.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.